Market Cycles Ara Kaloustian March 2010.

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Presentation transcript:

Market Cycles Ara Kaloustian March 2010

Software Amibroker

Cycle Analysis Methods Mathematical Statistical Visual Market Cycles Cycle Analysis Methods Mathematical Statistical Visual

Statistical Cycle Analysis Build statistics for groups of stocks SP500 NASDAQ NYSE

Statistical Cycle Analysis Bullish Percent Stochastics RSI Highs & Lows

Bullish Percent Statistical Cycle Analysis Count number of stocks above 10 day MA Count number of stocks above 15 wk MA Compute % values

SP500 Bullish Percent

Stochastics Statistics Count stocks above / below their 80%, 20% threshold Compute % values

SP500 Stochastic Statistics

Stochastic Indicator Multiple Time Frames Daily Weekly Other Multiple

Stochastic Time Frames 1x – 3x – 5x

SP500 – % Bullish & Stochastics

Market Breadth Advances – Declines\ Advances + Declines ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Advances + Declines

SP500 & Market Breath

SP500 %Bullish & Market Breath

CCI Indicator Overlay two periods CCI1: 8 periods CCI2: 40 periods

SP500 – % Bullish & CCI

Volume Indicators Directional: Adv Volume – Declining Volume Total: Day Total Volume

SP500 – % Bullish & Volume

Equity Only Put / Call Ratio Contrary Indicator

SP500 Equities Put / Call Ratio

SP500 Equities Put / Call Ratio

Real Time Usable down to 15 minutes

SP500 – RT %Bullish & Stochastic Stats

SP500 – RT Market Breath & Stochastic Stats

SP500 & Cycles