ClairCity Modelling behaviour in transport & domestic energy use Kris Vanherle (TML) www.claircity.eu @ClairCity This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 689289.

ClairCity context “…source apportionment of city air pollution, carbon emissions and health outcomes, attributing them to citizens’ behaviours, activities and choices (e.g. travel to work, shopping, recreation …) rather than only to source sectors (Transport/Domestic/Industrial) or technologies (e.g. diesel vehicles, coal power plants)…”

ClairCity context “…source apportionment of city air pollution, carbon emissions and health outcomes, attributing them to citizens’ behaviours, activities and choices (e.g. travel to work, shopping, recreation …) rather than only to source sectors (Transport/Domestic/Industrial) or technologies (e.g. diesel vehicles, coal power plants)…”

Source apportionment Traditional sense: “technical” sectors: Freight/passenger transport (sub-sections: car/bus/HGV, fuel type, Euro Standards) Industry: power generation, chemical, cement,… Households: fuel types used for heating (gas, electricity, wood, coal,…) ClairCity “addition”: the underlying reasons for these emissions, to increase understanding and allow for targeted policies

ClairCity context “…source apportionment of city air pollution, carbon emissions and health outcomes, attributing them to citizens’ behaviours, activities and choices (e.g. travel to work, shopping, recreation …) rather than only to source sectors (Transport/Domestic/Industrial) or technologies (e.g. diesel vehicles, coal power plants)…”

Citizens’ behaviour 2 focal points: (passenger) Transport choices Domestic energy use

Citizens’ behaviour 2 focal points: (passenger) transport choices Domestic energy use

Transport behaviour Passenger activities...

Transport behaviour Passenger activities… …generate trips with different purposes… discretionary home recreational services shopping study work

Transport behaviour Passenger activities… …generate trips with different purposes… …by different people… Age - gender - income

Transport behaviour Passenger activities… …generate trips with different purposes… …by different people… …with different modes Car – bus – train – bike - walk

Citizens’ behaviour 2 focal points: (passenger) transport choices Domestic energy use

Domestic energy use Household activities…

Domestic energy use Household activities… …generate electricity use & heating patterns…

Domestic energy use Household activities… …generate electricity use & heating patterns… …using different energy vectors  gas, district heating, oil, solid fuel, wood

Link with emission sources Transport activity then linked to the actual sources: diesel/petrol/electric cars, buses,… with distinct emission profiles Domestic energy consumption linked to properties of the energy vector with distinct emission profiles

Conclusion Expanding beyond traditional identification of sources of local air quality to the underlying sources of emissions Understand what behaviours are driving the emissions to allow for “targeted” policies

Conclusion To go from…

Conclusion …to:

ClairCity Our future with clean air www.claircity.eu @ClairCity This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 689289.