JTLS-GO in KIDA 11. Dec. 2018

Agenda Korea Theater KIDA Force Requirements Analysis & Evaluation Group JTLS-GO in Korea

Agenda Korea Theater KIDA Force Requirements Analysis & Evaluation Group JTLS-GO in Korea

Korea Theater (1/4) Geopolitical position Military Peninsula in Northeast Asia Surrounded by 4 great power countries : USA, Japan, China, Russia Military Predominantly land theater Air support can be decisive Naval operations exert heavy influences Amphibious turning movements Russia North Korea South Korea China Japan USA Taiwan Pacific Ocean picture source: Google Map

Korea Theater (2/4) North Korea Garrison country On service: 1,280,000 soldiers Reserve force: 7,500,000 soldiers One of the worlds poorest nation The electronic situation is poor Don’t enough food, so many children suffer from malnutrition One of few dictatorship country in the world All people have dictators picture at home, and bow every morning picture source: www.naver.com

Korea Theater (3/4) North Korea(cont.) In spite of their economic condition, they have threatening military power Conventional weapons Troops /Service Period Tanks Armored Vehicles Field Artillery Aircrafts Combatants Vessels North KOR 1,280,000/12 years 4,300 2,500 14,000 819 430 South KOR 600,000/2 years 2,400 2,700 5,900 410 110 source: 2016 Defense White Paper, ROK ※ However, almost North Korean conventional weapons are old and out of date.

Korea Theater (4/4) North Korea(cont.) So, trying to get asymmetric force Nuclear and Ballistic Missile SCUD-C SCUD-ER Nodong Musudan Daepodong Russia Alaska China Washington Japan Pacific Ocean Guam Australia over over picture source: www.naver.com source: 2016 Defense White Paper, ROK

Agenda Korea Theater KIDA Force Requirements Analysis & Evaluation Group JTLS-GO in Korea

KIDA (1/2) Who is KIDA? Established in 1979 Purpose Government-funded national research institute Purpose Improving security and defense policy-making by providing academic and analytical research on overall security and defense policies Korea Institute for Defense Analyses www.kida.re.kr

KIDA (2/2) Organization chart President Vice President Center for Security & Strategy Military Analysis & Planning Defense Human Resource Management Defense Resource Management Defense Acquisition & Requirements Analysis Defense Information System Management Group Force Requirements Analysis & Evaluation Group Acquisition Assessment Group Cost Analysis Division Div. Administrative Support Div. Planning & Coordination President Vice President KIDA consists of the Board of Trustees, Office of the President and its supporting departments and offices, and 4 research centers, namely, the Center for Security and Strategy, the Center for Military Planning, the Center for Defense Acquisition, and the Center for Resource & Manpower Management, as well as the Defense Information System Management Group. KIDA performs the following tasks in five core research areas: Conducts research and develops alternatives on the security environment and basic defense policies Engages in research on military strategy and military force construction Carries out research for the selection and acquisition of weapons systems Undertakes research on defense resource and manpower management policies Provides support for defense informatization policies and projects ※ Current Workforce 544 including 398 researchers in KIDA

Agenda Korea Theater KIDA Force Requirements Analysis & Evaluation Group JTLS-GO in Korea

Force Requirements Analysis & Evaluation Group (1/2) Position Agency of ROK MND Research Areas Main Analysis & evaluation for force requirements of ROK ARMY to verify the appropriateness, necessity and priority of the force requirements Adjust priority between force requirements Supporting main area Studying methodologies to analyze and evaluate military forces Data management for our research Ministry of National Defense The ROK armed forces have been requiring new capabilities to fight due to changes in security environment and obsolescence of conventional weapon systems. With constraints of the defense budget and a new form of warfare issues to consider, Force Requirements Analysis and Evaluation Group(FRAEG) conducts a study on overall perspective of the requirements. For this purpose, the tools and methodology of decision-making and DM&S are used to analyze and evaluate operational necessity, capabilities, quantities, and priority of required forces. We also offers rational alternatives to military decision-makers under a comprehensive point of view such as enhancement of the forces and the efficiency of defense budget management. ※ Current Workforce: 30 researchers

Force Requirements Analysis & Evaluation Group (2/2) What to do? Scope Contents Analysis & Evaluation of issues (1) Necessity (2) ROC (Required Operational Capability) (3) Required Quantity (4) Timing of Force Integration Identify and analyze issues for the target force requirement Necessity: Assess whether the requirement has the ability to supplement deficiencies ROC: Evaluate the over-capacity and lack of performance of weapon systems Required Quantity: Assess the quantity required for mission Timing of Force Integration: Evaluate the lack of capacity by time Analysis & Evaluation of alternatives Alternative establishment Alternative assessment (2-1) Operational effect assessment (2-2) Total Life Cycle cost (2-3) Risk and technical factors (2-4) Policy factors, etc. Establish competitive alternatives centering on identified issues Compare each alternative: Basic plan and comparative alternative – considering operational and non-operational effects. Expert panel evaluation Deriving results through professional panel evaluations

Agenda Korea Theater KIDA? Force Requirements Analysis & Evaluation Group JTLS-GO in Korea

History of JTLS in Korea Main User/Purpose How get KIDA’s Role Combined Forces Command Getting JTLS ver. 1.65 from CFC in 1991 Getting JTLS ver. 1.8 from CFC in 1996 ROK JCS/Command and staffs Ex. Using JTLS during 1996 ~ 2003 Current, using self-developed model Technical support Buying JTLS ver. 2.4 from ROLANDS during 2002~2010 Maintain contraction with ROLANDS Latest getting: ver. 3.3 in 2010 Air Univ./To give an experience for joint warfare for the student Using JTLS during 2002 ~ 2010 Current, using self-developed model Support for Theater Data

Current Simulation Tools What we have to support Force Requirements Analysis & Evaluation Resolution Ground Air Naval STORM NORAM AWAM Self-developing in KIDA Army Weapon effectiveness analysis model A-9(US) developing Synthetic Theater Operations Research Model ROK ARMY developing Naval Operations Research & Analysis Model RAND(US) developing Joint Integrated Contingency Model EADSIM TB(US) developing Extended Air Defense Simulation JICM Vision 21 ROK ARMY developing ※ Insufficient Area: Simulation for joint operations

Why we need JTLS-GO To supplement our insufficient field Analysis for joint operations & operation level battle field Resolution Ground Air Naval STORM NORAM AWAM Self-developing in KIDA Army Weapon effectiveness analysis model A-9(US) developing Synthetic Theater Operations Research Model RAND(US) developing Joint Integrated Contingency Model EADSIM TB(US) developing Extended Air Defense Simulation JICM JTLS-GO Vision 21 Naval Operations Research & Analysis Model ROK ARMY developing

Why we need JTLS-GO KIDA joins JTLS-GO Users group this year We will use it in the analysis & evaluation of force requirements Resolution Ground Air Naval STORM NORAM AWAM Self-developing Army Weapon effectiveness analysis model A-9(US) developing Synthetic Theater Operations Research Model RAND(US) developing Joint Integrated Contingency Model EADSIM TB(US) developing Extended Air Defense Simulation JICM JTLS-GO Vision 21 Naval Operations Research & Analysis Model ROK ARMY developing Please, give me Congratulations !!!

Thank You! Sang-yun Jeong Ph.D. e-mail: syjung@kida.re.kr, mathjung@naver.com Chief of Force Requirements Analysis & Evaluation Group Korea Institute for Defense Analyses