Not Great, But Better Than Anyone Else

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Not Great, But Better Than Anyone Else Dale Orr Managing Director, Canadian Macro Economic Service Global Insight (Canada) Ltd.

Monetary Policy Issues Outline The Economic Forecast Monetary Policy Issues 12/25/2018

The March 2003 Economic Forecast for Canada (Percent) 2002 2003 2004 Real GDP 3.4 2.8 3.6 Employment growth 2.2 2.3 1.7 Unemployment rate 7.6 7.4 7.0 CPI Inflation 2.7 1.5 3-month T-bills 2.6 3.3 4.8 Canadian dollar (U.S. cents) 63.7 67.0 70.4 12/25/2018

Canada vs. U.S. Growth % 12/25/2018

Cyclical Growth Pattern % 12/25/2018

Inflation: Recent Problems (year over year, percent) % 12/25/2018

Inflation: Credibility (year over year, percent) % 12/25/2018

Interest Rates: Widening Gap (3-month T-bill rate, percent) % 12/25/2018

Interest Rates: Medium Term (3-month T-bill rate, percent) % 12/25/2018

Canadian Dollar: Medium Term 12/25/2018

Canadian Dollar: Short Term 12/25/2018

Monetary Policy Choice Arguments for Raising Rates Now Arguments for Waiting Implications of Raising Rates 12/25/2018

Canadian Dollar Analysis Why Has the Dollar Strengthened This Year? Where Is The Dollar Going and Why? 12/25/2018