G-20 data gaps initiative: institutional sector accounts

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Presentation transcript:

G-20 data gaps initiative: institutional sector accounts 11th Meeting of the Advisory Expert Group (AEG) on National Accounts New York, December 5 – 7, 2017 Presented by Peter van de Ven (OECD)

Introduction G-20 DGI: Focus on institutional sector accounts, in particular financial accounts and balance sheets (Rec. II.8) Has become kind of umbrella/overarching recommendation Created massive momentum for improving the (future) availability of relevant data Important point of discussion: templates General template: “traditional” set of standard tables containing target requirements More advanced ambitions: Shadow banking From-whom-to-whom tables

Process IAG Working Group on Institutional Sector Accounts: first proposals G-20 Thematic Workshop (Paris, April 10 – 12, 2017) Detailed survey on feasibility by 2021 Revised proposals with some issues for further consideration: distributed on November 16, with feedback by December 29 “Final” proposal to be endorsed at G-20 Thematic Workshop (Paris, February 14 – 16, 2018) Note: Also discussed at the Joint Meeting of the OECD Working Parties on Financial Statistics and National Accounts, and put forward for consultation afterwards

General templates Target requirements versus encouraged items Sector breakdown: Main sectors as targets, with additional details as encouraged items Transaction/position breakdown: main items (2-digit level) Frequency: quarterly and annual, except for stocks of non- financial assets Time series: no specific requirements, as long as possible, with a minimum of four quarters Timeliness: 4 months for quarterly data and 9 months for annual data are to be considered as encouraged timeliness goals Data request relates first and foremost to non-seasonally adjusted data

General templates Consultation results: Financial accounts and balance sheets and current and capital accounts High data availability for the “target requirements”, both quarterly and annual frequencies Medium to low data availability for the “encouraged requirements”, both quarterly and annual frequencies S11 and S12 breakdowns into foreign controlled and domestically controlled usually not (yet) available in most of the respondent countries

General templates Consultation results (cont.) Financial accounts and balance sheets, both quarterly and annual frequencies Consolidated data: high availability (for most of the sectors) in most of the respondent countries Other changes in the volume of assets and revaluations account: data available in about half of the respondent countries Further breakdown of S12 into central bank (S121), other deposit-taking corporations (S122) and money­-market funds (S123): high data availability

General templates Consultation results (cont.) Current and capital accounts: Quarterly data at current prices, seasonally adjusted: medium availability, but high for some series Quarterly data adjusted for price changes, both seasonally adjusted and non-seasonally adjusted: low availability, but medium for some series

General templates Consultation results (final) New proposal for the template for stocks of non-financial assets, with a less detailed sector breakdown (annual frequency only): High data availability for the “target requirements” in most of the respondent countries Sectors: S1, S11, S12, S13 and S14+S15 Assets: fixed assets (and details); inventories; land (and details). Low data availability for the “encouraged requirements” in most of the respondent countries Sectors: S128+S129, split of S14 and S15 Assets: produced non-financial assets; valuables; non-produced non-financial assets; natural resources; mineral and energy reserves; contracts, leases and licenses; goodwill and marketing assets.

Templates for shadow banking Main focus: additional breakdowns of financial corporations (with some more details for financial instruments) for (financial) balance sheets, annual and quarterly First tier versus second tier Many economies find it quite problematic to provide the requested details, especially at the 3-digit level Important to look at possible synergies with the FSB work on shadow banking, both exercises can mutually reinforce each other

Templates for from-whom-to-whom tables Providing information on interconnectedness between sectors/countries considered very important to detect certain financial risks and potential contagion effects Several countries noted that compiling FWTW-information is an intrinsic part of compiling financial accounts and balance sheets Quite a lot of details were already compiled at the national level, however not everything may be disseminated, due to quality considerations Proposed templates: Quarterly and annual frequencies (both flows and stocks) Three levels of detail, depending on the financial instrument

Templates for from-whom-to-whom tables Sector level 1: high to medium in slightly more than half of respondent countries and low to nil for (almost) the other half, for the required instruments Sector level 2: high to medium in most of respondent countries (and low for the remaining ones), for the required instruments Sector level 3: high to medium in half of the respondent countries and low to nil for the other half, for the required instruments

Revised proposals General templates (non-financial accounts, and financial accounts and balance sheets): Keep “target requirements” as proposed Only keep “encouraged items” for which data availability is medium to high, except breakdown of corporations into foreign- controlled, public, other private Consolidated data for financial balance sheets: general government as target and other sectors as encouraged items Breakdown of other flows as encouraged items Seasonally adjusted series and real series as encouraged items Two points for consideration: Distinction between S14 and S15 for annual financial accounts and balance sheets as target requirements or as encouraged items Breakdown of S12 for non-financial accounts as encouraged items or remove it from template

Revised proposals General templates (non-financial assets): Lots of discussion Revised proposal: Fixed assets (including details), inventories, land, land underlying buildings and structures, and land underlying dwellings for sectors S11, S12, S13 and S14/15 as target requirements Remove further breakdown of S12 To be considered: Have valuables and non-produced assets (except the above land categories) as encouraged items, or simply remove them

Revised proposals Templates for shadow banking: Although providing details is sometimes problematic, templates are not substantially changed However, breakdown of S127 and S129 moved to second tier; also some breakdown of financial instruments have been moved to second tier, or removed Templates for from-whom-to-whom tables: Proposed to consistently ask from-whom-to-whom data at level 2 (main sectors), but … … for further consideration, to have some instruments (previously requested at level 1) considered as second tier

Thank you for your attention!