Using Telecom Data to track Population Movement in Dakar

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Presentation transcript:

Using Telecom Data to track Population Movement in Dakar Abuja, July 5th 2018

Partners Data Provider (Household Mobility Survey) and beneficiary of results and conclusions from the project Initiator of the partnership Provider of the technical data of the mobile network Network technical data processing (by Flux Vision solution) and creation of mobility indicators Comparative studies with Household Mobility Survey data and counts provided by the CETUD Study tracks relating to the analysis of generating and attracting poles

How do we track population movement ? Objectives Urban mobility data collection How do we track population movement ? Census Data Detailed Surveys Mobile Phone Data 2 classic ways New solution

Provide innovative urban management tools from mobile data Objectives A Provide innovative urban management tools from mobile data B C D Data collection from the location of users of the mobile network having made calls (May-June 2015) Analyzing the flow of people between different neighborhoods and mapping data to represent the areas of influence of attractive neighborhoods. Suggest a new tool (in addition to surveys) for a better urban mobility management from mobile data

Senegal Global fleet of mobile phone 23.6% 2015 2016 2017 23.6% Fleet of mobile phone lines trending upwards : average annual growth of 23.6% over 10 years More than 15,750,000 lines in 2017

Methodology Call Detail Record (CDR) data (metadata) Observation for every call/text made or received with time stamp GPS coordinates of tower from where call is made Data is anonymous

First results Measuring movement over long distances

First results Areas of attractiveness Most of the attractions in the morning concentrated on Plateau Plateau standing out clearly, far in front of the area of ​​Fann Residence Possibility to study the evolution over time of traffic attractions : translating the nature of territories (residential, jobs…)

First results Mapping of movements Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Monday Friday Saturday Sunday From Tuesday to Saturday : similar profiles Important trafficking in the central area of Dakar (the Plateau) Trafficking on Sunday and Monday smaller but better distributed

First results Comparison with houshold survey data The chart shows the different ODs on a point cloud. Each point binds for an OD the volume Orange (in abscissa) and the volume EMD (in ordinate). The curve X = Y is given in orange Représentativité d’Orange par rapport aux autres opérateurs? Portabilité des numéros? Much lower flow for the Orange data than for the EMD Slope of regression curve close to 0.35

First results Intensity of inter-district relations in Dakar Numerous flows of movements, involving sometimes long distance trips 2 zones stand out, both by the importance of flows in absolute value and by their relative intensity : Western Tip of the Peninsula Pikine

Takeways 1 2 3 4 Telecom data can be used to measure mobility data Very fine spatial and temporal level Can be used to study impact of intervention on mobility by using data from multiple points in time before and after Data provides opportunity to study direct mobility effects as well as indirect effects generated by the increased mobility Important limitations regarding who is represented that need to be accounted for

Thank you for your attention ! Khadim CISSÉ Directeur des Etudes et de la Stratégie, CETUD E-mail: khadim.cisse@cetud.sn