CRGAQS: CAMx 2018 Results Presentation to the

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Template Source Attribution and Source Sensitivity Modeling Studies with CMAQ and CAMx Prakash Karamchandani 1, Jeremiah Johnson 1, Tejas Shah 1, Jaegun.

Advertisements

UC Riverside Attribution of Haze Meeting, June 22, 2005, Seattle, WA UNC/CEPENVIRON Corp. Spatial Processing and Display of WRAP Emissions Data, and Source.

V:\corporate\marketing\overview.ppt CRGAQS: Revised CAMx Results Presentation to the Gorge Study Technical Team By ENVIRON International Corporation December.

V:\corporate\marketing\overview.ppt CRGAQS: Latest CAMx 2018 Results Presentation to the Gorge Study Technical Team ENVIRON International Corporation Alpine.

CENRAP Modeling Workgroup Mational RPO Modeling Meeting May 25-26, Denver CO Calvin Ku Missouri DNR May 25, 2004.

Display States, Class I Areas Home extent set to 36km grid.

The AIRPACT-3 Photochemical Air Quality Forecast System: Evaluation and Enhancements Jack Chen, Farren Thorpe, Jeremy Avis, Matt Porter, Joseph Vaughan,

Area Sources Area sources except dust sources Off shore Marines shipping in the Pacific Ocean Off shore area sources in the Gulf of Mexico Point Sources.

©2005,2006 Carolina Environmental Program Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions SMOKE Modeling System Zac Adelman and Andy Holland Carolina Environmental.

Three-State Air Quality Study (3SAQS) Three-State Data Warehouse (3SDW) Emission Inventory Comparison 2008 vs 2011 vs 2018 vs 2020 University of North.

Western Regional Air Partnership Emissions Database Management System Presentation to Fire Emissions Joint Forum Las Vegas, Nevada December 09, 2004 E.H.

Recent Developments in the Community Emissions Model CONCEPT 5 th Annual CMAS Model User Conference Tuesday October 17, 2006 Mark Janssen LADCO.

Fire Emissions Joint Forum –Section 308 Strategies for Fire Coordinating efforts of states changing or developing smoke management strategies for regional.

Land Use/Land Cover Data Project Planning Team – March 9-10.

TSS Data Preparation Update WRAP TSS Project Team Meeting Ft. Collins, CO March 28-31, 2006.

National/Regional Air Quality Modeling Assessment Over China and Taiwan Using Models-3/CMAQ Modeling System Joshua S. Fu 1, Carey Jang 2, David Streets.

2004 Workplan WRAP Regional Modeling Center Prepared by: Gail Tonnesen, University of California Riverside Ralph Morris, ENVIRON Corporation Zac Adelman,

Attribution of Haze Phase 2 and Technical Support System Project Update Dust Emissions Joint Forums – Tempe, AZ November 16, 2005.

1 Recent Advances in the Modeling of Airborne Substances George Pouliot Shan He Tom Pierce.

Three-State Air Quality Study (3SAQS) Three-State Data Warehouse (3SDW) 3SAQS 2011 Modeling Update University of North Carolina (UNC-IE) ENVIRON International.

WRAP Regional Modeling Center April 25-26, 2006 AoH Work Group Meeting Regional Modeling Center Status Report AoH Workgroup Meeting Seattle, WA April 25-26,

Projects:/WRAP RMC/309_SIP/progress_sep02/Annex_MTF_Sep20.ppt Preliminary Mobile Source Significance Test Modeling Results WRAP Regional Modeling Center.

V:\corporate\marketing\overview.ppt CRGAQS: Revised CAMx 2004 Results Presentation to the Gorge Study Technical Team By ENVIRON International Corporation.

V:\corporate\marketing\overview.ppt CRGAQS: Initial CAMx Results Presentation to the Gorge Study Technical Team By ENVIRON International Corporation October.

1 Gorge EI Analysis  Domain-wide analysis  In response to concerns over EI data integrity  A QA step  Comparison by source type and pollutant * On-Road.

Regional Modeling Center Workplan Fire/Carbon/Dust Workshop May 24, 2006.

Non-EGU Point and Area Sources: Review of 2018 Base Case Emissions Projections Stationary Sources Joint Forum Meeting February 1, 2006.

PM Model Performance & Grid Resolution Kirk Baker Midwest Regional Planning Organization November 2003.

Section 309 Mobile Source Significance Test Modeling Results WRAP Regional Modeling Center (RMC) University of California at Riverside, CE-CERT ENVIRON.

1 Projects:/WRAP_RMC/Presents/ADEQ_Feb ppt Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) Projection of Visibility Changes and Modeling Sensitivity Analysis.

1 Gorge EI Analysis Presented to the Gorge Study Technical Team By Christopher Swab Air Quality Division, Technical Services June 20, 2007.

WRAP Emission Inventory EI’s traditionally consider 4 sectors : – Stationary Point Sources – Area Sources – Mobile Sources – Biogenic Sources.

1 CRGAQS: Meteorological Modeling prepared for Southwest Clean Air Agency 19 June 2006 prepared by Alpine Geophysics, LLC ENVIRON International Corp.

2005 WRAP Work Plan WRAP Board Meeting Salt Lake City, UT November 10, 2004.

Source Attribution Modeling to Identify Sources of Regional Haze in Western U.S. Class I Areas Gail Tonnesen, EPA Region 8 Pat Brewer, National Park Service.

Technical Projects Update WRAP Board Meeting Salt Lake City, UT November 10, 2004.

Three-State Air Quality Study (3SAQS) Three-State Data Warehouse (3SDW) 3SAQS/3SDW Progress Review to the 3SAQS Technical Committee University of North.

V:\corporate\marketing\overview.ppt CRGAQS: Revised/Final 2018 CAMx Results Presentation to the Gorge Study Technical Team By ENVIRON International Corporation.

Modeling Forum Status Report WRAP Planning Team Meeting February 22-23, 2006 John Vimont, Mary Uhl, & Kevin Briggs, Forum Co-Chairs.

1 Session IV: Onroad Mobile Sources Laurel Driver US EPA.

2018 Emission Reductions from the Base 18b Emission Inventory Lee Gribovicz Fire Emissions Joint Forum Meeting San Diego, California February 22-23, 2007.

IUAPPA Sao Paulo1 Air Quality Modeling at Santiago, Chile: Impact of Transportation Sources Héctor Jorquera Chemical and Bioprocess Engineering Catholic.

V:\corporate\marketing\overview.ppt CRGAQS: CAMx 2004 PSAT Results Presentation to the Gorge Study Technical Team By ENVIRON International Corporation.

2005 Progress on Emissions Inventories Attribution of Haze Workgroup Meeting January 24, 2006.

MRPO Technical Approach “Nearer” Term Overview For: Emissions Modeling Meteorological Modeling Photochemical Modeling & Domain Model Performance Evaluation.

WRAP Regional Modeling Center, Attribution of Haze Meeting, Denver CO 7/22/04 December WRAP Modeling Forum Conf Call Call Information: December 20, 1pm.

V:\corporate\marketing\overview.ppt CRGAQS: CAMx Sensitivity Results Presentation to the Gorge Study Technical Team By ENVIRON International Corporation.

V:\corporate\marketing\overview.ppt CRGAQS: New CAMx 2018 Results Presentation to the Gorge Study Technical Team ENVIRON International Corporation Alpine.

Western Regional Technical Projects 2011 through 2013

Mobile Source Contributions to Ambient PM2.5 and Ozone in 2025

Overview of Emissions Processing for the 2002 Base Case CMAQ Modeling

Status Report to the Stationary Sources Joint Forum:

University of North Carolina Institute for the Environment

Issues on Ozone Planning in the Western United States

WRAP Technical Planning Meeting Salt Lake City, UT December 5, 2018

Adjusting the Regional Haze Glide path using Monitoring and Modeling Data Trends Natural Conditions International Anthropogenic Contributions.

Overview of WRAP 2014 Platform develop and Shake-Out project update

AoH Conference Call August 24, 2004

Sources of Haze - North Cascades and Mt. Rainier National Parks

WRAP Regional Modeling Center (RMC)

AoH Conference Call September 7, 2004

CRGAQS: Latest CAMx 2018 Results R2

Status of Preliminary Reasonable Progress Analysis

CAMx-PSAT Source Apportionment Modeling Results

AoH Conference Call August 24, 2004

Gorge EI Analysis Presented to the Gorge Study Technical Team By

Joe Adlhoch - Air Resource Specialists, Inc.

FIRE GRIDS FIRE INDEX: MODERATE 0700 hrs 23 AUGUST 19

CRGAQS: CAMx PSAT Results

CRGAQS: Final 2018 CAMx Results

Presentation transcript:

CRGAQS: CAMx 2018 Results Presentation to the Gorge Study Technical Team By ENVIRON International Corporation February 21, 2007

Today’s Presentation Describe 2018 CAMx simulation Next Steps 2018 emissions review “What-if” scenario emissions review Results for August 2004 episode Next Steps

2018 Emissions From WRAP 2018 SMOKE IDA files Uses 2004 emissions for: Biogenics Fires Natural wind-blown dust Natural ammonia sources Employed same fugitive dust adjustments as 2004: Canopy escape factors Fine/coarse speciation splits

What-If Scenarios Case 01 – zero Boardman emissions Case 02 – zero NH3 emissions for PSAT region 5 (east of Gorge) Case 03 – zero on-road mobile source emissions for PSAT region 2 (Portland and Vancouver) Case 04 – zero major point source emissions for PSAT region 2 Case 05 – zero major point source emissions for PSAT region 1 (in-Gorge)

PSAT Regions

What-If Scenarios Following slides are presented with no emissions scale This is to show that emissions changes indeed were incorporated into the modeling as expected

What-If Scenario (Case 01) Grid Cell (103, 50) Location as derived From EPA data Grid Cell (103, 52) 2018 zero Boardman (note that Morrow County has no emissions) 2018 Base Case (data from WRAP Note: Boardman position change)

What-If Scenario (Case 02) Ammonia Emissions (All Sources)

What-If Scenario (Case 03) On-Road Mobile Source CO On-Road Mobile Source NOX

What-If Scenario (Case 04) Area highlighted in blue is PSAT region 2 (Portland-Vancouver) Major stationary sources with CO emissions are shown Figure on left is 2018 base case Figure on right is the Case 04 What-If Scenario

What-If Scenario (Case 05) Area highlighted in blue is PSAT region 1 (In-Gorge) Major stationary sources with CO emissions are shown Figure on left is 2018 base case Figure on right is the Case 05 What-If Scenario

2004 vs. 2018 Results

2004 vs. 2018 Results

Change in Organics

Change in Organics

Next Steps Continue with remaining “what-if” scenarios New funding Investigate “what-if” responses Complete report New funding Emission issues (2018 POA?) 2018 PSAT for Aug 2004 episode Improve Nov 2004 performance 2018 for Nov 2004 episode 2004+2018 PSAT for Nov 2004 episode