SolUnesco Solar Power Southeast

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Presentation transcript:

SolUnesco Solar Power Southeast Clean Power Plan: How Will Solar Continue to Thrive in the Southeast After the Supreme Court’s Stay? May 25, 2016 SolUnesco

3-4 year goal: $50 million revenue company SolUnesco Launched to consolidate the development of multiple projects and to advance Community Solar Utility-scale solar development: real estate developer for large scale solar Community Energy: positioned to develop Community Solar model in VA Real estate investor: land with attractive renewable energy lease 3-4 year goal: $50 million revenue company Management Team Four plus decades of - utility plant management energy project development corporate leadership Construction experience Delivered over 1GW of power generation projects and 15 MWs of solar generation Lead solar policy and and legislative efforts in the mid-Atlantic and Virginia for the last five years

Mass vs Rate Compliance Distributed Generation in Virginia NPV: 8%, 30 Years   Cash $ (1,689) Home Equity $ (656) PPA $ 391 Years Payback   Cash 15.21 Home Equity 18.58 PPA NA Utilities & Coops engaged in off-session policy discussions with utilities: long-term planning horizon, economics, development process, community solar, & related. Assumptions: 5kW; Rate Dominion GS1; Home Equity: 5.8%, 10 year term; PV install + soft = 2.90; scale economies: 15%

Mass vs Rate Compliance VA Creating a New Market Structure? Mass vs Rate Compliance Through 2015 less than 30 MW plus 90 MWs in 2016 Legislator → 500 MWs in public interest and provided rate recovery, Dom = 400 MWs Current Dom IRP plans for 1 to 7 GWs Dominion publically supports planning for CPP 27.7 MWs TOTAL through Q3 2015 Q3 of 2015 20 MWs net metered solar installed with an average system size of 7.3 kW. 2 MW installation at Norfolk Naval Base. Dominion’s Solar Partnership Program 30 MWs authorized 4.5 MWs through the end of 2015 9 MWs projected for 2016. Per Dominion: projected 16 MWs within the $80 million budget. Dominion’s Solar Purchase Program = 1.2 MWs. Coops: ODEC 30MWs BARC 0.5 MWs Utility-scale solar: 136 MW under review, PJM queue = 1 GW, & Distribution queue 1.4 GW? IRS PLR: Allowed Market Index in lieu of Cost of Service Hearing Examiner supports 56 MWs and the Market Index

Mass vs Rate Compliance Creative Procurement Practices - Solarize 27.7 MWs TOTAL through Q3 2015 Q3 of 2015 20 MWs net metered solar installed with an average system size of 7.3 kW. 2 MW installation at Norfolk Naval Base. Dominion’s Solar Partnership Program 30 MWs authorized 4.5 MWs through the end of 2015 9 MWs projected for 2016. Per Dominion: projected 16 MWs within the $80 million budget. Dominion’s Solar Purchase Program = 1.2 MWs. Coops: ODEC 30MWs BARC 0.5 MWs

Mass vs Rate Compliance Creative Procurement Practices - CICV Convener Enables Regional Collaboration Independent Solar Expert Represents Buyers & Provides Due Diligence 15 Colleges Leverage Collective Purchasing Power 27.7 MWs TOTAL through Q3 2015 Q3 of 2015 20 MWs net metered solar installed with an average system size of 7.3 kW. 2 MW installation at Norfolk Naval Base. Dominion’s Solar Partnership Program 30 MWs authorized 4.5 MWs through the end of 2015 9 MWs projected for 2016. Per Dominion: projected 16 MWs within the $80 million budget. Dominion’s Solar Purchase Program = 1.2 MWs. Coops: ODEC 30MWs BARC 0.5 MWs Round 1 Procurement 15 Colleges for 37+ MW Round 2 Procurement ? Colleges for ? MW Round 3

CPP provides many trading options and choices for the states Rate Based Compliance AA BB CC Model Rule R1 Solo R2 Solo DD R2 Multi-State EE FF R3 Solo GG II HH R3 Multi-State Not Allowed Mass Based Compliance LL JJ MM KK M1 Solo or Multi-State M2 Solo or M3 Solo M4 Solo Model Rule Source: Sarah Jackson and Patrick Knight (September 22, 2015) Synapse Energy Economics, Tricks of the Trade: Who Can Sell Emissions Credits to Whom in the Clean Power Plan (Part 2 of 2)

2-3 decades of experience with emission trading New source offset Acid Rain Program Lead phase out 1990s Source: EPA (January 11, 2016), The Clean Power Plan, Emission Trading 101: Introductory Concepts of Mass- and Rate-based Emission Trading Programs Webinar REC-LAIM OTC Nox Budget RPS 2000s Nox Budget RGGI CA AB32 2010s CAIR RFS CSAPR 1990 Clean Air Act Carbon Cap & Trade