An aquatic perspective

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Presentation transcript:

An aquatic perspective Appalachian Land Conservation Cooperative Landscape Conservation Design An aquatic perspective Daniel Hanks Clemson University rhanks@clemson.edu

Hypothetical biological response along a disturbance gradient Biological Metric Disturbance

Hypothetical biological response to a various landscape disturbances Biological Metric Landscape Gradient

Known Response Variables (poor spatial coverage) Predictor Variables (good spatial coverage) Fish Macroinverts

~ Known Response Variables (poor spatial coverage) Predictor Variables (good spatial coverage) Boosted Regression Trees Relative Influence Predicted Response Variables (full spatial coverage) Use RI to weight predictors f(X) Goal: Identify key biological targets Goal: Identify key abiotic targets

Final Predictors Overall Predictors Score Aquatic Habitat metric Themes Overall Predictors Score RI weighted Flow Alteration from Storage (total storage/mean annual flow) Flow regime Diversity Density and type of dam Altered streamflow Agricultural water withdrawal Fish FG Industrial water withdrawal Erosive Forces Geomorphic condition Resistive forces Density of dams: Catchment Connectivity Density of dams: Watershed Fish TQ Density of crossings: Catchment Density of crossings: Watershed Nitrogen Water Quality Phosphorus Dissolved Organic Carbon Macroinverts TQ % Impervious Surface in Watershed, Active River Area, & Catchment Non-point sources of pollution % Natural Cover in Watershed & Active River Area % Agriculture in Watershed, Active River Area, & Catchment Fish Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Information System site density Point sources of pollution Permit Compliance System site density Toxic release inventory site density in Watershed and Catchment Coal mine density Wind turbine density All mine density in Watershed and Catchment Natural gas well density Regions AppLCC Atlantic Highlands Ozark-Ouachita Appalachian Southeastern Plains We compiled predictor variables for flowlines from 3 primary datasets. NFHP, TNC Aquatic Classification, StreamCat

Overall Response Score Final Responses Biological metric Targets Condensed Attributes Overall Response Score Diversity Shannon Diversity Fish Score Invertivore Taxa Functional Group Piscivore Taxa Herbivore Taxa Lithophilic Spawners Fish Taxa Quality Taxa Preferring Coarse Sediment Intolerant Taxa Tolerant Taxa EPT Taxa Macroinverts Taxa Quality Macroinverts Score 5 Dominant Taxa Regions AppLCC Atlantic Highlands Ozark-Ouachita Appalachian Southeastern Plains We compiled predictor variables for flowlines from 3 primary datasets. NFHP, TNC Aquatic Classification, StreamCat

Response: fish richness Variable RI Elevation 13.8 Temperature (July) 11.3 R-factor (runoff factor) 9.8 NID Storage 8.1 K-factor (soil erodibility) 4.9 % Natural Cover (ARA) 4.6 % Agricultural Cover (ARA) 4.5 Baseflow Poor Good Themes Avg RI Flow 3.1 Geomorphic condition 7.4 Connectivity 1.0 Water quality 1.4 Non-point source pollution 2.9 Point source pollution 0.2

Response: taxa quality Fish Taxa Quality Macroinverts Taxa Quality Poor Good

Response: overall WS score Variable RI R-factor (runoff factor) 7.8 Elevation Temperature (July) 9.8 Baseflow 6.7 NID Storage 6.5 Nitrogen (Catchment) 6.1 % Impervious Cover (ARA) 5.2 K factor 5.1 Poor Good Themes Avg RI Flow 2.6 Geomorphic condition 6.5 Connectivity 1.3 Water quality Non-point source pollution 3.0 Point source pollution 0.3

Regional models: differences exist Variable RI Nitrogen (Catchment) 7.7 K-factor (soil erodibility) 6.5 % Impervious Cover (ARA) 6.2 R-factor (runoff factor) 5.2 Silt 5.0 Base flow Elevation 4.9 % Natural Cover (ARA) 4.8 Poor Good Variable RI Sand 8.5 R-factor (runoff factor) 7.8 Elevation 7.6 NID Storage 6.2 % Impervious Cover (ARA) 5.8 Base flow 5.4 K-factor (soil erodibility) 5.2 Nitrogen (Catchment) 4.7 Variable RI Base flow 7.3 Temperature (July) 7.1 NID Storage 6.9 Nitrogen (Catchment) 6.6 Elevation 6.5 R-factor (runoff factor) 6.0 K-factor (soil erodibility) 5.8 % Impervious Cover (ARA) 5.0

Regional models: differences exist Themes Avg RI Flow 2.1 Geomorphic 5.8 Connectivity 1.7 Water Quality 3.1 Non-point source pollution 4.0 Point-source pollution 0.2 Poor Good Themes Avg RI Flow 2.3 Geomorphic 6.5 Connectivity 1.4 Water Quality 1.7 Non-point source pollution 3.4 Point-source pollution 0.3 Themes Avg RI Flow 2.6 Geomorphic 5.9 Connectivity 1.3 Water Quality 3.3 Non-point source pollution 3.0 Point-source pollution 0.2

Response: overall WS score Single BRT model Overall WS score Regional BRT models Poor Good

Predictors: Overall weighted WS scores Fish Taxa Quality Macroinvert Taxa Quality Grand Average Poor Good Themes Avg RI Flow 2.8 Geomorphic 6.2 Connectivity 1.3 Water Quality 1.7 Non-point source pollution 3.3 Point-source pollution 0.3 Themes Avg RI Flow 2.0 Geomorphic 6.5 Connectivity 1.9 Water Quality Non-point source pollution 3.2 Point-source pollution 0.2 Themes Avg RI Flow 2.3 Geomorphic 5.1 Connectivity 1.6 Water Quality 4.3 Non-point source pollution 3.1 Point-source pollution 0.3

Predictors: Regional categorical weighted WS scores (connectivity) Grand Average Macroinverts Fish Poor Good

Tennessee fish richness Variable RI Nitrogen (Catchment) 10.0 Temperature (July) 9.5 NID storage 8.9 R-factor 8.4 Elevation 5.6 Base flow 5.0 % Impervious cover (ARA) 4.2 % impervious cover 4.6 Themes Avg RI Flow 3.4 Geomorphic condition 6.1 Connectivity 1.8 Water quality Non-point source pollution 3.5 Point source pollution 0.4 Poor Good

Issues to be addressed Data resolution Data availability WS size Lack of response data Spatial distribution of data large small

Issues to be addressed Data resolution Data availability WS size Lack of response data Spatial distribution of data

Issues to be addressed Data resolution Data availability WS size Lack of response data Spatial distribution of data