Simulating experiments

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
6.1 Simulation Probability is the branch of math that describes the pattern of chance outcomes It is an idealization based on imagining what would happen.
Advertisements

AP STATISTICS Simulation “Statistics means never having to say you're certain.”
Chapter 5.3: Simulation. Random  We call a phenomenon RANDOM if individual outcomes are uncertain but there is nonetheless a regular distribution of.
AP STATISTICS Simulating Experiments. Steps for simulation Simulation: The imitation of chance behavior, based on a model that accurately reflects the.
Chapter 5 Producing Data
Section 1.2 Discrimination in the Workplace: Inference through Simulation.
Introduction to Probability
Math 15 – Elementary Statistics Sections 7.1 – 7.3 Probability – Who are the Frequentists?
Section Using Simulation to Estimate Probabilities Objectives: 1.Learn to design and interpret simulations of probabilistic situations.
Simulating Experiments By: Justin Ross Tim Dietrich Brandon Izumi.
AP STATISTICS LESSON SIMULATING EXPERIMENTS.
1.3 Simulations and Experimental Probability (Textbook Section 4.1)
Section 5.1 in your book….  Simulation: ◦ A simulation is an imitation of chance behavior, most often carried out with random numbers.  Random: ◦ When.
AP STATISTICS LESSON 6-1 Simulation. ESSENTIAL QUESTION: How can simulation be used to solve problems involving chance? Objectives: To simulate problems.
Copyright © 2010, 2007, 2004 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 11 Understanding Randomness.
AP STATISTICS Section 6.1 Simulations. Objective: To be able to create and carry out a simulation. Probability: the branch of mathematics that describes.
Simulating Experiments on the TI Section Starter Use the random integer generator in your calculator to choose an SRS of 5 students from.
4.3a Simulating Experiments Target Goal: I can use simulation to represent an experiment. In class FR.
Sec. 5.3: SIMULATING EXPERIMENTS C HAPTER 5: P RODUCING D ATA.
Simulating Experiments Introduction to Random Variable.
Randomness, Probability, and Simulation
Section 5.1.  Three ways to answer this question: 1. Actually carry out an experiment 2. Develop a probability model 3. Start with a model, and then.
Simulation. Simulation  Simulation imitation of chance behavior based on a model that accurately reflects the phenomenon under consideration  By observing.
Randomness, Probability, and Simulation
5.3: Simulation NEW SEATING CHARTS NEW WEBSITE FOR NOTES.
Section 5.3 – basics of simulation Simulation – the imitation of chance behavior, based on a model that accurately reflects the experiment under consideration.
Homework Questions. Simulations Unit 6 Experimental Estimates As the number of trials in an experiment increases, the relative frequency of an outcome.
Unit 6 Probability & Simulation: the Study of randomness Simulation Probability Models General Probability Rules.
5-Minute Check on Chapter 5 Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answers. 1.What can help detect “cause-and-effect” relationships?
Introduction Imagine the process for testing a new design for a propulsion system on the International Space Station. The project engineers wouldn’t perform.
Random numbers. Using Random Number Table 1.Randomly select in the table a 1-digit number. Describe the position of that number (e.g. 5 th row, 13 th.
1 Copyright © 2014, 2012, 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 9 Understanding Randomness.
Copyright © 2016 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. B ASIC C ONCEPTS IN P ROBABILITY Section 5.1.
Stats 8/26/13 1. Check homework C11 #2-9 Ch 11 Practice
AP Statistics Chapter 5 Section 3. Chance Toss coin 10 times. What is the likelihood of a run of 3 or more consecutive heads or tails? A couple plans.
Warm-up What is the best way to answer each of the questions below: an experiment, a sample survey, or an observational study that is not a sample survey?
Slope (b) = Correlation (r) = Slope (b) = Correlation (r) = WARM UP 1.Perform a Linear Regression on the following points and.
Unit 1 Day 6: Simulations.
Chapter 5: Probability: What are the Chances?
Experimental Probability vs. Theoretical Probability
Chap 6.1 Simulations.
Using Simulation to Estimate Probabilities
Day 6: Simulations Unit 1: Statistics.
Probability and Statistics
Simulations.
CHAPTER 6 PROBABILITY & SIMULATION
Warm Up 4.
Chapter 5: Probability: What are the Chances?
Advanced Placement Statistics
Use the Randomness to select 3 digits at a time.
Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answers.
The Practice of Statistics
Chapter 5: Probability: What are the Chances?
Designing Samples Section 5.1.
Warm Up 1) A t-shirt company makes shirts in sizes S, M, L, XL and XXL and in the colors chartreuse, burgundy, fuchsia and mauve. How many different types.
Chapter 5: Probability: What are the Chances?
WARM UP: Solve the equation for height for an age of 25.
Day 6: Simulations Unit 1: Statistics.
Section Simulation AP Statistics.
Simple Random Sampling
Chapter 5: Probability: What are the Chances?
6.1 Simulation.
Chapter 5: Probability: What are the Chances?
Chapter 5: Probability: What are the Chances?
Advanced Placement Statistics
Chapter 5: Probability: What are the Chances?
Chapter 5: Probability: What are the Chances?
Chapter 5: Probability: What are the Chances?
Probability and Statistics
Presentation transcript:

Simulating experiments Section 5.3 Simulating experiments

What are the chances? Three ways to answer this question: Actually carry out an experiment Develop a probability model (Ch. 6) Start with a model, and then use a procedure to simulate repetitions We’ll use technology 1. Could be costly, impractical, or logistically difficult. 2. Uses rules of probability 3. Quicker than repeating the real experiment.

Simulation The imitation of chance behavior based on a model that accurately reflects the experiment under consideration Effective for finding likelihoods of complex results.

Running a Simulation State the problem/describe the experiment State the assumptions Assign digits to represent outcomes Simulate many repetitions State your conclusions

Using Technology to Simulate randInt( TI-84 and 83: Press MATH, PRB, #5 TI-89 Press CATALOG F3

Using Technology to Simulate The command randInt(0, 9, 5) generates 5 random digits between any two specified values. The command randInt(1, 6, 7) could be used to simulate rolling a die 7 times.

Homework: P. 314: #60, 62, 63 c & d, 64