“AN SOS FOR 2011” “STRATEGIES ON SURVIVAL” THE ULTIMATE GOAL OF EVERY COMMUNITY Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA

THE “BIG SEVEN” CHALLENGES OF THE 21ST CENTURY SUSTAINABILITY SECURITY (HEALTH AND SAFETY) EDUCATION ECONOMIC ENTERPRISE ENVIRONMENT ECOLOGY ENERGY

THE SOLUTION IS NOT ON THE BLACKBOARD

POLICIES AND PRACTICES SUSTAINABILITY SECURITYY EDUCATION COMMUNITY CHALLENGES ACCEPTABLE RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK RISK POLICIES AND PRACTICES YOUR COMMUNITY DATA BASES AND INFORMATION DISASTER RISK REDUCTION DISASTER RESILIENCE ADAPTATION REAL-TIME MONITORING LONG-TERM GOALS HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS

POLICIES AND PRACTICES ENTERPRISE ENVIRONMENT ECOLOGY ENERGY COMMUNITY CHALLENGES ACCEPTABLE RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK RISK POLICIES AND PRACTICES YOUR COMMUNITY DATA BASES AND INFORMATION QUALITY OF LIFE LONG-TERM GOALS HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS

STATUS OF OUR WORLD AT THE BEGINNING OF THE 21ST CENTURY 6.6 billion people, and counting Living and competing in an interconnected global economy Producing $60 trillion of products Facing many complex problems

EXAMPLES OF OUR COMPLEX GLOBAL PROBLEMS: 21ST CENTURY Conflict and terrorism Health care Chronic hunger Increasing risk of pandemic disease outbreaks

EXAMPLES OF OUR COMPLEX GLOBAL PROBLEMS: 21ST CENTURY Increased risks related to occurrences of natural hazards Large-scale migration of people Environmental degradation Threats related to global climate change

THE REALITY OF 2011 AD INFINITUM Unless communities accelerate implementation of realistic public policies and professional practices, the reduction in their quality of life may be irreversible.

strategic GOALS IN THE FRAMEWORK OF SUSTAINABILITY To build capacity for disaster resilience To inform, educate, train, and equip all sectors of the community for coping with complex disasters. To protect and preserve the environment

THE WAY FORWARD: POLICY CHANGES AND PROFESSIONAL PRACTICES THAT CREATE, ADJUST, IMPROVE, AND REALIGN PROGRAMS, PARTNERS AND PEOPLE UNTIL THE COMMUNITY’S GOALS ARE REACHED

“STATEGIES ON SURVIVAL” INTEGRATION OF SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS WITH POLITICAL SOLUTIONS IMPLEMENATION OF INTEGRATED SOLUTIONS TO CREATE TURNING POINTS ON THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY

SOLVING THE SEVEN CHALLENGES OF THE 21ST CENTURY THE KNOWLEDGE BASE APPLICATIONS CONTINUING EDUCATION Best Practices for Mitigation Adaptation and Monitoring Gateways to a Deeper Understanding Real and Near- Real Time Monitoring Hazard, Vulnerability and Risk Characterization Anticipatory Actions for all Events and Situations Situation Data Bases Interfaces with all Real- and Near Real-Time Sources Cause & Effect Relationships Implement Modern Codes and Lifeline Standards Relocation/Rerouting of Cities and City Lifelines Create a Seismic Zonation Construct (A Policy Tool) Introduce New Technologies Move Towards A Disaster Intelligent Community Engage Partners in Educational Surges Enlighten Communities on Their Risks Build Strategic Equity Through Scenarios Multiply Capability by International Twinning Update Knowledge Bases After Each Scenario

Can we do it? Yes!! All of us working strategically can implement a realistic set of scientific, technical, and political solutions--- within OUR administrative, legal, and economic constraints, --- that will enable us to reach our goal of quality of life and certainty of survival.