Volume 381, Issue 9876, Pages (April 2013)

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Volume 381, Issue 9876, Pages 1469-1477 (April 2013) Vitamin A supplementation every 6 months with retinol in 1 million pre-school children in north India: DEVTA, a cluster-randomised trial  Prof Shally Awasthi, MD, Prof Richard Peto, FRS, Simon Read, PhD, Sarah Clark, PhD, Vinod Pande, MD, Donald Bundy, PhD, the DEVTA (Deworming and Enhanced Vitamin A) team  The Lancet  Volume 381, Issue 9876, Pages 1469-1477 (April 2013) DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(12)62125-4 Copyright © 2013 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure 1 Flow diagram for the 72 mainly rural administrative blocks randomly allocated 5 years of 6-monthly vitamin A or open control AWC: anganwadi (ie, courtyard) child-care centre. In these 72 blocks, 8338 child-care centres were followed up, with total population at ages 1·0–6·0 years 1 million and 5 million child-years at risk in the 5 years between May, 1999, and April, 2004. *AWC catchment areas correspond approximately to villages; it was determined before randomisation which AWCs were then functional, and hence potential study areas; loss of an AWC to follow-up was defined by having only 1–6 follow-up visits (mean only 3, as against 12 in included AWCs), and was generally because the AWC had ceased to function. The Lancet 2013 381, 1469-1477DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(12)62125-4) Copyright © 2013 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure 2 Times when treatment was to be given and mortality monitored, and range of ages (1·0–6·0 years) and dates (May, 1999–April, 2004) for inclusion in main analyses of child mortality Shaded area indicates more than 2 years’ treatment already received. Diagonal lines describe involvement of children born on May 1 in 1995, 1998, and 2001. With 1 million children of age 1·0–6·0 years at any one time, 5 million child-years at risk are included. The Lancet 2013 381, 1469-1477DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(12)62125-4) Copyright © 2013 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure 3 Correlation between 72 block-specific average numbers of infant and child deaths per child-care centre (AWC) during the entire study The inter-block correlation (illustrated here) between numbers of infant and child deaths per AWC was 68·7% ignoring trial treatment allocation (or 68·4% given the four-way allocation to albendazole, retinol, both or neither), and ranged from 66–71% within the four treatment groups. Mortality at ages 0–6 months had correlation 99·3% with infant and 68·2% with child mortality. The Lancet 2013 381, 1469-1477DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(12)62125-4) Copyright © 2013 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure 4 Published results from the eight large previous trials of regular vitamin A supplementation and child mortality, DEVTA results, and weighted averages of results from the other eight trials and from all nine trials Heterogeneity between eight previous trials p=0·010; heterogeneity between DEVTA and subtotal of eight previous trials p=0·0010. Methods as in appendix p 9. Calculation of a weighted average does not assume the mortality rate ratios (RRs) in different studies are the same. The equivalent numbers of deaths are approximately additive when calculating weighted averages, but are not used in calculations. *95% CI to 2 dp derived from study publications. †Number of deaths (vitamin A vs control) in a large, 50:50 individually randomised trial that would yield the same RR and CI. Trials were excluded if they had a total of fewer than 20 such deaths, recruited patients with disease, or gave single-dose treatment. ‡From the inverse-variance-weighted average of log RR in each separate trial. The Lancet 2013 381, 1469-1477DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(12)62125-4) Copyright © 2013 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions