Key messages Dele O Abegunde, et al. Lancet 2007; 370: 1929-38.

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Presentation transcript:

Key messages Dele O Abegunde, et al. Lancet 2007; 370: 1929-38

Projected age-standardised death rates for 2005 from chronic diseases (per 100 000), for all ages and both sexes in 23 selected countries Dele O Abegunde, et al. Lancet 2007; 370: 1929-38

Millions of projected deaths and DALYs for chronic diseases as a proportion of deaths and DALYs for all causes in 23 selected countries for 2005, 2015, and 2030 Dele O Abegunde, et al. Lancet 2007; 370: 1929-38

Decomposition of projected change in numbers of chronic disease deaths into demographic and epidemiological components, in 23 selected countries, 2005-30 CVD=cardiovascular disease. The diff erence between the total change in numbers of deaths from 2005 to 2030 and the sum of the demographic and epidemiological components is due to the interaction between demographic and epidemiological components. Dele O Abegunde, et al. Lancet 2007; 370: 1929-38

Projected global deaths (millions) for major chronic disease groups and other causes of death in 23 selected countries, 2005-15 Dele O Abegunde, et al. Lancet 2007; 370: 1929-38

Trends in chronic disease risk factors - the situation in Brazil Dele O Abegunde, et al. Lancet 2007; 370: 1929-38

Projected foregone national income due to heart disease, stroke, and diabetes, and cumulative GDP gains through achievement of a global goal of an additional 2% annual reduction in mortality due to chronic diseases, 2006-15 Dele O Abegunde, et al. Lancet 2007; 370: 1929-38

Cumulative deaths averted and years of life gained by an additional 2% annual reduction in chronic death rates in 23 selected countries, 2006-15 Dele O Abegunde, et al. Lancet 2007; 370: 1929-38

Projected life expectancy at birth and healthy life expectancy at birth for 23 selected countries in 2005 and 2015 under the baseline and global goal projection scenarios Dele O Abegunde, et al. Lancet 2007; 370: 1929-38