What Does NAEP Say? “NAEP, A Nation at Risk, Seminar on “NAEP, A Nation at Risk, and the Future of Education Reform” Johnson Center, Hoover Institution Washington, D. C. Sponsored by Hoover Institution, Education Next & Fordham Foundation April 25, 2018

Genesis 41: 29-31 Bible, King James Version  ”Behold, there come seven years of great plenty . . . , And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten . . . .  It shall be very grievous.” Bible, King James Version

“Behold, there come seven years of great plenty” “Student achievement in the United States [between 1995 and 2009] is estimated to have increased by 1.6 percent of a st. dev. per year, on average. . . . These gains equate to 22 percent of a std. dev. When interpreted in years of schooling . . . the [gain] was just short of the equivalent of one additional year’s worth of learning.” Eric Hanushek, Paul E. Peterson and Ludger Woessmann, “Achievement Growth,” Report, Harvard Program on Education Policy and Governance, 2012.

And there shall arise years of famine… Nationwide NAEP Test Score Changes 1998-09; 2009-17

”and the famine shall consume the land” NAEP Change for White, Black and Hispanic Americans

“all the plenty shall be forgotten…” New York Changes in NAEP Test Scores

Indiana Changes in NAEP Scores

Florida Changes in NAEP Scores 1996-09; 2009-17

“It shall be very grievous….” New York White, Black and Hispanic NAEP Score Changes

Indiana White, Black and Hispanic NAEP Score Changes

Florida White, Black, and Hispanic NAEP Score Changes

What Happens after 2009? Obama takes the Inauguration Oath NCLB Enforcement Ends Stimulus Package --$100 Billion for Schools Race to the Top Waivers from NCLB Slow Recovery from Financial Collapse