Implications of the LULUCF Regulation for the Polish forest based sector. Marta Nurczyńska Tomasz Grzegorzewicz ………………………………………. Brussels, 25th of September 2018

FORESTS IN POLAND FOREST COVER IN POLAND

TIMBER RESOURCES IN POLAND 2.6 billion m3 ANNUAL INCREASE 35 mln m3 STATE FORESTS The increase of timber resources in the SF in the last 20 years: 530 mln m3

GROWING STOCK 280m3/ha* 286m3/ha* GROWING STOCK IN POLAND’S FORESTS 2017 280m3/ha* GROWING STOCK IN THE STATE FORESTS 2017 286m3/ha* Growing stock in 2015* European average: 163m3/ha Polish forests: 273 m3/ha *State of the Europe’s Forests *According to the National Forest Inventory 2013-2017 GROWING STOCK IN THE STATE FORESTS 2017

AGE STRUCTURE The average forest age is over 60 years Stands representing age classes III and IV prevail in the forest structure and cover 24.9% and 19.4% of the forest area The number of tree stands aged over 80 years is rising

TIMBER INDUSTRY IN POLAND There are about 64,000 entities dealing with wood processing, more than 40% are furniture companies ths. t The wood industry accounts for 2 % of GDP annually Poland occupies the 5th place in the world in terms of furniture export

FRL according to the LULUCF Regulation Article 8(5) As defined in the LULUCF Regulation, the FRL “shall be based on the continuation of sustainable forest management practice, as documented in the period from 2000 to 2009 with regard to dynamic age-related forest characteristics in national forests, using the best available data”. Continue the SFMP as documented in the period from 2000 to 2009 Use the best available data Exclude the future impact of policies and markets

ESTIMATING THE NEW FOREST REFERENCE LEVEL CONTINUATION OF SFMP FROM 2000-2009 HARVEST INTENSITY LONG TERM SUSTAINABILITY OF HARVEST PROBLEMS SF cover over 90% of the demand of the domestic industry and residents. HARVEST IN 2017: 40.5 mln m3 (about 70% of the increment) HARVEST IN THE SF

ESTIMATING THE NEW FOREST REFERENCE LEVEL USE THE BEST AVAILABLE DATA THE LACK OF DATA FOR PRIVATE FORESTS NFI START IN 2005 MISSING DATA ABOUT THE INCREMENT PROBLEMS

ESTIMATING THE NEW FOREST REFERENCE LEVEL EXCLUDE THE FUTER IMPACT OF POLICIES AND MARKETS DISORDERED AGE CLASSES STRUCTURE STANDS ON AGRICULTURAL LAND CLIMATE CHANGE PROBLEMS The third one is: EXCLUDE THE FUTER IMPACT OF POLICIES AND MARKETS PROBLEMS Comparing with the historical period 2000-2009, our approach to the use of forests has changed. Disordered age classes structure resulting from afforestation and renewals after World War II. The trees planted after the War are at the age of 80 at present. They simply come into the cutting age. We have in Poland about 2,5 mln ha of the stands on agricultural land. So these forests have been planted on rather poor soils. This is also related to the insects and fungi gradations. It needs tim untill the soil is better. Climate change We do note the climate change in our forests. Drought and catastrophic phenomena, insect gradations will also require a reaction/change of approach and the use of appropriate measures. We will need to rebuild the stands. The dominant forest forming species in Poland are pine and spruce. There is a need to introduce more broad-leaved species. Natural disturbances, also related to the climate change: As you may know, last year in August we have faced the bigest windstorm disaster in the history of the State Forests A strong hurricane wind brought down thousands of trees. 79,7 thousand ha of the stree stands, Including 39,2 thousand ha to a complete renewal THE CONSEQUENCE OF ALL THIS IS THE NECESSITY TO INCREASE HARVEST INTENSITY. What happens in Poland in principle after 2009. We are afraid that because of the the LULUCF Regulation the long term sustaiability of harvest will be disordered Extra harvest above FRL do not necessarily leads to LULUCF debits: it may be compensated by extra increment (But this is something we do not know yet. It might be that our fears are exagereted.)

THE METHODOLOGY DESCRIPTION AND IMPLMENTING OF DIFFERENT ECONOMIC SCENARIOS BUILDING OF REGIONAL BONITATION MODELS DEVELOPING AND IMPLEMENTING OF ALLOMETRIC EQUATIONS FOR FOREST FORMING SPECIES

Pan-European indicators for Sustainable Forest Management

Thank you for you attention! The State Forests National Forest Holding ul. Grójecka127 02-124 Warszawa sekretariat@lasy.gov.pl tel. +48 22 58 98 100, fax +48 58 98 171