Is China a classic bubble economy? (중국, 전형적인 거품 경제?) ‎

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Presentation transcript:

Is China a classic bubble economy? (중국, 전형적인 거품 경제?) ‎

Billionaire investor George Soros

Soros Says China Bubble Bursting Could ‘Reverberate’ Globally.

April 9 (Bloomberg) -- Billionaire investor George Soros said that there is “undoubtedly” a bubble in Chinese real estate, which could “reverberate” in the world if it bursts.

The question is whether China’s authorities have done “enough” to contain the bubble, Soros told Bloomberg Television in an interview in Cambridge, England, today. The “danger” is that the bubble “keeps on growing,” he said.

China mania: A wired bus that must keep speeding

China's property bubble is worse than it looks

Should We Fear The Chinese Property Bubble?

The current Chinese property bubble lends itself to the hefty domestic stimulus package provided by the Chinese government in late 2008, intended to reinstate Chinese economic growth and kick-start the global economy through commodity purchases.

Wen Jiabao is now hell bent on slowing the property bubble as tightening measures are implemented intended to reduce 12% GDP growth to 8%.

Wen is fully aware of Japanese history Wen is fully aware of Japanese history. At risk is the Chinese economic “miracle” of the twenty-first century.

If Chinese spending is on the increase, Chinese incomes must be on the increase.

If incomes are higher, then it stands to reason that property prices will also rise.

The Chinese property “bubble”, which is a bubble in anyone else's terms, could happily carry on for a while without causing disruption.

Even if there were a house price crash it would not necessarily be a bad thing.

The Chinese economic bubble

Fear of Chinese bubble reverberates worldwide Financial Times - 2010년 3월 12일 ‎

China Miracle or Bubble Waiting to Burst China Miracle or Bubble Waiting to Burst? March 15, 2010, Wall Street Journal

The China Bubble’s Coming

China is "The Greatest Bubble in History“.

Dubai times 1,000 -- or worse.

Bubble, Bubble, who has the Bubble ... now?

미국의 국채와 중국의 주요지역 부동산은 현재 세계적인 양대 거품

A meltdown in the real estate market To be clear, the China bubble talk is mostly focused on the country's real estate sector, where property sales jumped 76 percent in 2009 and prices in some markets have recently been rising 8 to 10 percent a month.

A meltdown in the real estate market The fear is that a meltdown in the real estate market could take down the rest of the Chinese economy with it, as has happened in the U.S. and Japan.

“China's financial bubble ready to pop” Vancouver Sun - ‎2010. 3. 28.‎ “China's financial bubble ready to pop”

Forbes - ‎2010. 3. 28.‎ “China's Next Bubble”

“Collapse predicted as housing prices continue to soar” China Daily 2010.4.3. “Collapse predicted as housing prices continue to soar”

Email from a Chinese on China's Real Estate Bubble FavStocks (blog) 2010.4.4. Email from a Chinese on China's Real Estate Bubble

China: The Bursting of a Super-Bubble Befor e It's News 2010.3.28. China: The Bursting of a Super-Bubble

中国のバブルの崩壊中国のバブルの崩壊は必ずそう遠くない時期にくるのではないでしょうか。 Doe it mean "The collapse of the bubble in China is a sure thing, but it seems it won't happen in the near future"?