Trendcasting
How It Can Help The Forecast Trendcasting What It Is, How It Can Help The Forecast
It Is Like Where’s Waldo For Meteorologists And Weather Watchers
Fun And Frustrating
Trendcasting: Looking For Something That Stands Out
Then See If It Applies To The Forecast Find The Trend Then See If It Applies To The Forecast
I Love Writing About Trends brucesussman.com
Weekend Days Were Warmest Summer 2011 Trend Weekend Days Were Warmest
Weekend Days Were Warmest Summer 2011 Trend Weekend Days Were Warmest
How It Helped: Each weekend models split on warm & cool, I could trust the warm solution because of the trend
Spring 2011 Trend
Only 1 Warm & Sunny Day Per Week Spring 2011 Trend Only 1 Warm & Sunny Day Per Week
Trend Start: April Fool’s Day 2011 Spring 2011 Trend Trend Start: April Fool’s Day 2011
Still Going Most Of April… Spring 2011 Trend Still Going Most Of April…
Trend Finally Ends: Late May Spring 2011 Trend Trend Finally Ends: Late May
How It Helped: I rarely was fooled by the models lies that a “warm stretch” was finally going to happen
My wife and I booked a trip to Phoenix How It Helped: I rarely was fooled by the models lies that a “warm stretch” was finally going to happen My wife and I booked a trip to Phoenix
Rainy Season Trend 2012 “The 50-50 Year”
Rainy Season Trend 2012 “The 50-50 Year”
Rainy Season Trend 2012 Trend Start: December
February: Wetter 2nd Half Of Month Rainy Season Trend 2012 February: Wetter 2nd Half Of Month
Trend Went Thru March Helped My Forecast: I could be more confident that ‘wet’ or ‘dry' extended forecast would be right
Trend Went Thru March My wife and I booked a trip to Phoenix Helped My Forecast: I could be more confident that ‘wet’ or ‘dry' extended forecast would be right My wife and I booked a trip to Phoenix
Spring Trend 2014 “Stormy Sundays”
80% of t-storms occurred on Sundays Spring Trend 2014 80% of t-storms occurred on Sundays during April and May
80% of t-storms occurred on Sundays Spring Trend 2014 80% of t-storms occurred on Sundays during April and May How It Helped: It didn't
Trendcasting Can Be Like… Try To Spot The Trends Trendcasting Can Be Like…
For Meteorologists And Weather Watchers Where’s Waldo? For Meteorologists And Weather Watchers
Let me know what you find: bruce@brucesussman.com / @forecastupdates