PERFORMANCE OF INVESTMENT CHOICES

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS Mr. Edmund Go Director, Metrobank Former Treasurer, Citibank Former Treasurer, Metrobank Briefing on NGO Investments.
Advertisements

Saudi Arabia Business Optimism Index – Q Presented by Dun & Bradstreet National Commercial Bank.
Turkish Banking Sector and Turkish Banks November 2008 Sadrettin Bagci Tel : Fax:
Quarterly revision of the macroeconomic projections Quarterly revision of the macroeconomic projections Dimitar Bogov Governor January, 2013.
Brazil What is Balance of P. C.  When a country that has a large budget deficit, it has difficulty maintaining a fixed exchange rate, ultimately.
Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 1-1 Six Key Economic Variables Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) –is corrected.
Annual Report 2003 Bank van de Nederlandse Antillen Willemstad, July 5, 2004.
2008 General Meeting Assemblée générale 2008 Toronto, Ontario 2008 General Meeting Assemblée générale 2008 Toronto, Ontario Canadian Institute of Actuaries.
Industrials Sector Jason Kraynak and Wade Guzdanski.
Cochise College Center for Economic Research Cochise College CENTER FOR ECONOMIC RESEARCH Economic Outlook Sierra Vista, AZ.
© 2009 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics Hubbard/O’Brien UPDATE EDITION. Fernando & Yvonn Quijano Prepared by: Chapter 21 Economic Growth, the.
CHAPTER SIXTEEN MANAGING THE EQUITY PORTFOLIO © 2001 South-Western College Publishing.
© 2009 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics Hubbard/O’Brien UPDATE EDITION. Fernando & Yvonn Quijano Prepared by: Chapter 29 Macroeconomics in an.
The International Investors’ View Of Risks and Opportunities in Greek Financial Assets Materials for Presentation November, 2000.
2Q | 2011 Guide to the Markets As of March 31, 2011.
The Economy and External Environment 10th Annual Georgia Idea Institute August 19, 2015 Bill Hampel, Chief Policy Officer Credit Union National Association.
MANAGING THE EQUITY PORTFOLIO CHAPTER EIGHTEEN Practical Investment Management Robert A. Strong.
Monetary Policy in Colombia Hernando Vargas Banco de la República April 2005.
MPSIF Economic Update Presentation by MPSIF Growth Fund 3/29/04.
Economic Outlook William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Chicago Association of Spring Manufacturers Rosemont,
Chapter 15 Investing in Stocks. Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved.15-2 Chapter Objectives Identify the functions of stock exchanges.
Maintaining Growth in an Uncertain World Regional Economic Outlook for Sub-Saharan Africa African Department International Monetary Fund November 13, 2012.
Investment Strategy Utilizing Economic Indicators Kenneth M. Lavin, DPM, MSF, Economic Consultant for the 360 Huntington Fund.
International Trade. Balance of Payments The Balance of Payments is a record of a country’s transactions with the rest of the world. The B of P consists.
Investment and portfolio management MGT 531.  MGT 531   Lecture # 16.
Inflation.
CBA Investors Update Date: November 2012 Presentation by: Richard Muriithi Old Mutual Asset Managers (K) Ltd.
The Irish Market - What Lies Ahead? Donal Forde 24 th October, 2007.
Economic Outlook for 2011 and 2012 William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Electronics Representatives Association.
Economic and Social Update November 2007 William E. Wallace, Lead Economist World Bank, Indonesia November 2007.
GLOBAL SCENARIO AND ECONOMIC OUTLOOK FOR INDIA Dr. SK LAROIYA DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS HANSRAJ COLLEGE UNIVERSITY OF DELHI.
Stock Markets Being an educated investor will enable you to become financially sound.
1 April 2001 Banco Central do Brasil The Case of Brazil The Case of Brazil The Managed Floaters: Float or Sink? Float! Float! Ilan Goldfajn.
PIONEERS IN DEVELOPMENT PUBLIC POLICIES FOR INVESTMENT IN HUMAN CAPITAL: THE CASE OF CHILE Comments by Roberto Junguito November 4,
MPSIF Economic Update Presentation by MPSIF Growth Fund 11/24/03.
Teens lesson one making decisions presentation slides 04/09.
1 of 33 Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall · Macroeconomics · R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien, 3e. Chapter.
US ‘Fiscal Cliff’ & Eurozone debt crisis weigh on global economy The month started with the much awaited US presidential election followed by the leadership.
MICNOVA Education Presentation – September 2016
Teens lesson one making decisions presentation slides 04/09.
Economic Overview Washington State Examiner School
FIN 30220: Macroeconomic Analysis
Lecture Presentation Software to accompany Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management Eighth Edition by Frank K. Reilly & Keith C. Brown Chapter 12.
INFLATION & THE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI)
Recession 1 (Mar 2001–Nov 2001) • Income Return • Total Return –15%
Client Advisory Committee Meeting December 10th 2015
The Free Market System Financial Markets.
A macroeconomic overview
Loanable Funds Problems
Chapter 11: Financial Markets Section 3
Recession In economics, a recession is a business cycle contraction which results in a general slowdown in economic activity. Macroeconomic indicators.
Monetary policy in the early months of 2015
Macroeconomic Review August 2017.
Macroeconomic Review November 2016.
How are BOP statistics used?
20 Mutual Funds and Asset Allocation Introduction to Finance Chapter
Macroeconomic Review September 2017.
TNS ICAP 64, Vas. Sofias Ave., Athens T: (+30) E:
Macroeconomic Review July 2017.
Monetary Policy Monetary policy is the deliberate change instituted in the money supply to influence interest rates and thus total spending in the economy.
Types of risk Welcome to today’s presentation. We’re here to help you make the most of your retirement plan and keep you informed of concepts that may.
Macroeconomic Review July 2016.
Macroeconomic Review June 2017.
Economic Outlook EconoSummit 2019 William Strauss Las Vegas, NV
The Stock Market.
Teens lesson one making decisions presentation slides 04/09.
PORTFOLIO AND SELECT COMMITTEES ON FINANCE
Teens lesson one making decisions presentation slides 04/09.
Economic Update Q
Teens lesson one making decisions presentation slides 04/09.
Presentation transcript:

PERFORMANCE OF INVESTMENT CHOICES November 12th, 2018 PERFORMANCE OF INVESTMENT CHOICES MACROECONOMIC SUMMARY INTERNATIONAL BRAZIL Data from the US economy continued to point to robust growth. What attracted attention was the expressive devaluation of stock exchanges caused by a generalized sales movement. In the Eurozone, doubts about more consistent growth continue although the economic recovery continues and unemployment rates continue to fall. Data from China released in the month showed that GDP and industrial production slowed while investments improved. In the domestic scenario, the assets direction was almost completely defined by the electoral scenario and the successive evidence pointing to Jair Bolsonaro's victory favored the appreciation of the markets. The economy continued to show better numbers at the margin. Data showed a better-than-expected dynamic in trade and service sector, although industry data were worse. With the victory of the candidate with the most adequate agenda, the month of October provided significant gains in financial assets of all segments. ------------------------------------- Page 1 -----------------------------------------------

PERFORMANCE BY INVESTMENT FUND PREVI NOVARTIS REPORT | NOVEMBER 12TH, 2018 2 PERFORMANCE BY INVESTMENT FUND COMMENTS BY SEGMENT FIXED INCOME In Fixed Income, difficult to point out highlights since only the IMA-S maintained its habitual behavior and presented performance in line with expectations. On one side, LTN, NTN-F and DI-Futuro rates fell to closing levels in 2017 and maturities from one year on fell from 100bps or more (IRF-M + 3.59%). The same behavior of falling rates was observed in the NTN-Bs, which, although they did not return to 2017 levels in the shortest maturities (but rather the longest), declined substantially along the curve (IMA-B5 +3, 10% and IMA-B5 + 10.66%). EQUITIES In the stock market, there were few stocks that did not show gains (such as those in the "Mining" and "Pulp and Paper" sectors, which were hampered by the appreciation of the real), and in this way the good performances spread through the various sectors, including those coming on negative territory until September. At the close of the period, valuations of 10.42% and 10.19% for Ibr-X and Ibovespa, while the IDIV (+ 11.44%) and the SMLL index (+ 12.59%) left behind a negative profitability in the year and came to accumulate 7.39% and 1.07%, respectively for 2018. ALTERNATIVES FOREIGN INVESTMENT In October, the winning positions were those linked to the domestic scenario. The US stock market showed significant devaluation in October, with declines in 16 trading sessions in the month. The S&P500 Index fell 6.9%.

INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO - BY MANAGER AND BY ASSET CLASS PREVI NOVARTIS REPORT | NOVEMBER 12TH, 2018 3 INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO - BY MANAGER AND BY ASSET CLASS INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO - ALLOCATION BY INVESTMENT CHOICE ------------------------------------- Page 1 -----------------------------------------------

EXTERNAL AND INTERNAL INDICATORS PREVI NOVARTIS REPORT | NOVEMBER 12TH, 2018 4 EXTERNAL AND INTERNAL INDICATORS ¹ IGP-DI + 4% p.y. ** Historic composition of IMA-Bench composed (weighted Performance) 15%IRF-M + 55%IMA-S + 20%IMA-B5 +10%IMA-B5+) since July 2017 50% IMA-S + 50% IMA-B from Jan 2017 to Jun 2017 50% IMA-S + 50% IMA-B from Jan 2017 to July 2017 and 15% IRF-M + 55% IMA-S +20% IMA-B5 + 10% IMA-B5+ from July 2017 to June 2018 Conservative (89,1% IMA-S + 5,5% IRF-M + 5,5% IMA-B5), Moderate (85,4% IMA-S + 7,3% IRF-M + 7,3% IMA-B5) and Aggressive (80% IMA-S + 10% IRF-M + 10% IMA-B5) since July 2018 ADDITIONAL COMMENTS In the month in which the Brazilians came to the polls to vote for their next president of the republic, there would not be a way for the issue of "elections" to remain out of the spotlight and not to be decisive for the direction of the main business markets and for the definition of prices of domestic financial assets. In this way, there was little space for the generalized sales movement registered in the North American stock market to influence the location, which was frankly positive and enabled significant gains for those who were invested in the well-known Kit Brazil. On the external front, more of the same with the data of the American economy, which continued to point to a robust growth, with the unemployment rate at a historically low level generating positive effects across economy, without, however, a signal of pressure of inflation. However, what attracted attention was the abrupt drop in the stock market, as mentioned previously, which resulted in 16 trading sessions in the month, the highest number of trading sessions in the same month since 2008. In the face of a strong growth scenario economy, with no more aggressive Fed (Fed) speeches indicating a tightening of monetary policy, analysts failed to identify the main trigger for the reversal seen in October and probably will not get an objective explanation for the move. Among the reasons for this was the rise registered in the interest rate of American securities, the movement of investors' turnover (selling shares that have appreciated a lot in recent years, as in the technology sector, to buy securities with lower relative values), negative expectations of the impact of the "commercial war" on world growth (which would bring down the price of commodities and the shares of companies linked to them), among others. Regardless of the motivators for the observed fall, the US stock exchange underwent a significant correction in stock prices and recorded losses that were not observed long ago (for example, with a drop of 6.9%, the S&P500 Index registered the largest decline monthly since September 2011). ------------------------------------- Page 1 -----------------------------------------------