Volume 13, Issue 11, Pages (November 2012)

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Volume 13, Issue 11, Pages 1141-1151 (November 2012) Menarche, menopause, and breast cancer risk: individual participant meta-analysis, including 118 964 women with breast cancer from 117 epidemiological studies    The Lancet Oncology  Volume 13, Issue 11, Pages 1141-1151 (November 2012) DOI: 10.1016/S1470-2045(12)70425-4 Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure 1 Cumulative distribution of (A) age at menarche and (B) age at natural menopause Data are for women without breast cancer—ie, controls. Results for age at menarche are based on data from 306 068 women. Results for age at menopause are based on data from 157 272 postmenopausal women aged older than 55 years at the time of reporting their age at menopause. The Lancet Oncology 2012 13, 1141-1151DOI: (10.1016/S1470-2045(12)70425-4) Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure 2 Correlates of various factors with (A) early menarche and (B) late natural menopause Data are for women without breast cancer—ie, controls. OR calculations were stratified by study and, where appropriate, by age at diagnosis, year of birth, parity, age at first birth, smoking, alcohol consumption, height, and current BMI (results for BMI as a young adult are not stratified by current BMI). Results for age at menopause are restricted to postmenopausal women without breast cancer aged 55 years or older at the time they reported their age at menopause. OR=odds ratio. gs=group specific. BMI=body-mass index. The Lancet Oncology 2012 13, 1141-1151DOI: (10.1016/S1470-2045(12)70425-4) Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure 3 Relative risk of breast cancer by (A) age at menarche and (B) age at menopause Calculated stratifying by study, age, year of birth, parity, age at first birth, smoking, alcohol consumption, height, and current body-mass index. RR=relative risk. gs=group specific. The Lancet Oncology 2012 13, 1141-1151DOI: (10.1016/S1470-2045(12)70425-4) Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure 4 Relative risk of breast cancer (A) per year younger at menarche and (B) per year older at menopause, in various subgroups and by tumour characteristics Relative risks are calculated stratifying by study and age, and where appropriate, by year of birth, parity, age at first birth, smoking, alcohol consumption, height, and current BMI (results for BMI as a young adult are not stratified by current BMI). RR=relative risk. BMI=body-mass index. ER=oestrogen receptor. *Subgroup analyses for age at menarche are for age at menopause <50 vs ≥50 years in postmenopausal women; and for age at menopause are for age at menarche <13 vs ≥13 years. †Case-case comparisons stratified by study, age and year of birth, and adjusted by parity, age at first birth, smoking, alcohol consumption, height, and current BMI. The Lancet Oncology 2012 13, 1141-1151DOI: (10.1016/S1470-2045(12)70425-4) Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure 5 Hormone concentrations and breast cancer risk at around the time of the menopause (A) Circulating oestradiol concentrations, in the years before and after menopause, calculated from published data.7 (B) RR of breast cancer in women aged 45–54 years, by menopausal status. (C) RR of breast cancer in women aged 45–54 years by menopausal status and current BMI. RRs stratified by study, age at diagnosis in single years, year of birth, parity, age at first birth, smoking, alcohol consumption, height, and current BMI. RR=relative risk. gs=group specific. BMI=body-mass index. *Results for breast cancer risk are plotted against the time between menopause and the diagnosis of breast cancer for postmenopausal women, and against an estimate of that time for premenopausal and perimenopausal women. The postmenopausal women aged 45–54 years in these analyses reported that their menopause had occurred 4·6 years previously, on average. The premenopausal women aged 45–54 years in these analyses would be expected to reach their menopause in the next 2·7 years, on average (this estimate is based on the age distribution of the premenopausal women in these analyses and the age distribution of women's ages at menopause shown in figure 1B). Perimenopausal women might be expected to reach their menopause in the next 6 months, on average. The Lancet Oncology 2012 13, 1141-1151DOI: (10.1016/S1470-2045(12)70425-4) Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure 6 Breast cancer by tumour characteristics and by women's age and menopausal status (A) Oestrogen receptor-positive (ER+). (B) Lobular histology. Results are shown for age groups <40 years, 40–44 years, 45–54 years, 55–59 years, 60–64 years, and ≥65 years, and plotted against the mean age of women with breast cancer in each age group. The Lancet Oncology 2012 13, 1141-1151DOI: (10.1016/S1470-2045(12)70425-4) Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions