Board of Trustees Summary of 4CD High School Graduation Report Contra Costa Community College District Board of Trustees Summary of 4CD High School Graduation Report July 2018

high school graduate capture rates Contra Costa Community College District high school graduate capture rates

Contra Costa Community College District enrollment County HS Grads HS Grads Applying HS Grads Enrolling + 12% - 16% + 26% Source: CCCCD Research. Number of high school graduates from DOE. Application and high school graduate status from Colleague, FB query. Run date 6/21/18. JD The average HS Grad capture rate is 28 %. The most recent year the rate is 32 %. Source: CCCCD Research. Number of high school graduates from DOE. Application and high school graduate status from Colleague. Run date 5/30/17. JD

Primary Feeder High Schools by Service Area (size of circle indicates relative number of students from each high school attending the colleges) CCC Overall Capture Rate = 31% DVC Overall Capture Rate = 28% LMC Overall Capture Rate = 39% Source: CCCCD Research. Based on information from Colleague. Run date 6/21/18. JD NOTE: Only schools with 20 or more students enrolling are included. District Overall Capture Rate = 32% NOTE: Only schools with 20 or more students enrolling are included. . Source: CCCCD Research. Based on information from Colleague. Run date 6/21/18.. JD *Note that the capture rates increases over time as students that don’t enroll immediately after graduating from high school enroll in subsequent years.

Graduates from Feeder High School Districts NOTE: Totals are higher than the capture summary on page one because duplication occurs when students take courses at more than one college. Also counts from private high schools are included in this graphic. Source: District Research, CCCCD. Based on information from Colleague. Run date 6/21/18. JD

Student ethnicity distribution of recent HS graduates Source: CCCCD Research. High school graduate race/ethnic status from Colleague. Run date 6/21/18. JD Excel workbook, Capture Study Graphics Source: CCCCD Research. High school graduate race/ethnic status from Colleague. Run date 6/21/18. JD

Contra Costa Community College District Projections

U.S. High School Graduates (1976 – 2026) 3.56 Public & Nonpublic Graduates Million Actual Projected Proj increases in: Hispanic students First-gen students Proj decreases in: White students Private HS grads DID NOT UPDATE - The big national headlines are that despite the recent improvements in the official high school graduation rate, the sheer number of youth has moderated and entered a decade of relative stagnation. This is in large part as a result of long-predicted decreases in the number of White youth -- which outpace even the substantial increases among non-White student populations. As the numerical majority population -- which is White students – is perpetually declining, graduating classes will be undeniably more racially and ethnically diverse, and correspondingly more academically and financially diverse, as well. So -- after almost two decades of steady growth in the number of high school graduates averaging about 2% annually, the nation reached a high of 3.4 to 3.5 million grads around 2013. Between now and about 2025, there is virtually no increase projected, except for a few years of small increase around 2025, when the nation will produce between 3.5 and 3.6 million high school graduates. After 2025, the number of high school graduates nationally is projected to decrease steadily, to about 3.3 million. This leads to about 7 to 8 percent fewer graduates by the early 2030s than in current graduating years. These decreases in the outer years arise from the long-predicted contraction of the White youth population, and are compounded by the dramatic declines in the numbers of babies born each year since 2007 from all populations -- in other words, a recent “baby bust” that coincided with the recession. Source: NCES data through SY2012-13, WICHE Knocking at the College Door 2016 for SY2013-14 to 2031-32.

CA High School Graduate Projections (2014/15 – 2025/26) + 1,800 + 1,075 DID NOT UPDATE Note: in a given year, recent high school grads account for ~ 25% of first-time students ~ 7% of total headcount Source: California Department of Finance, Demographic Research Unit, (2016).

high school graduate success Contra Costa Community College District high school graduate success

Primary educational goal of recent HS graduates Roughly 4 of 5 high school grads are pursuing a credential or transfer Let’s now look at several key indicators of their progress toward completion: Persistence Full-time enrollment Passing college level English and math Source: CCCCD Research. High school graduate status from Colleague. Run date 6/21/18. JD Excel workbook, Capture Study Graphics Source: CCCCD Research. High school graduate status from Colleague. Run date 6/21/18. JD

4CD Average Persistence 81% Fall-to-Spring persistence of recent HS grads 4CD Average Persistence 81% Source: CCCCD Research. High school graduate information from Colleague. Run date 6/21/18.. JD Excel workbook, Capture Study Graphics Source: CCCCD Research. High school graduate information from Colleague. Run date 6/21/18.. JD

4CD Average FT Enrollment Percent attempting 24+ units in first year (full-time) 4CD Average FT Enrollment Source: CCCCD Research. Headcount based on information from CCCCO Data Mart. New students and high school graduate status from Colleague. Run date 5/26/17. JD Excel workbook, Capture Study Graphics Source: CCCCD Research. Headcount based on information from CCCCO Data Mart. New students and high school graduate status from Colleague. Run date 11/20/14. JD

English course taking patterns for HS Grads* *includes only those students that enrolled in an English course in their first term Transfer level English Source: CCCCD Colleague. Run date 6/21/18. JD Pre-transfer English

Trends in English course taking over time *includes only those students that enrolled in an English course in their first term Percent enrolling in transfer English in their first term is on the rise !

Math course taking patterns for HS Grads* *includes only those students that enrolled in an math course in their first term College level math Source: CCCCD Colleague. Run date 6/21/18. JD Pre-collegiate math

Trends in math course taking over time *includes only those students that enrolled in an English course in their first term Percent enrolling in college math is also increasing !

College strategies to capture high school graduates Contra Costa Community College District College strategies to capture high school graduates

HS outreach activities at the colleges 20+ strategies/initiatives per college Strategies include: Preparation/orientation workshops for HS juniors & seniors College application and Ed planning support Parent engagement Career awareness and counseling DID NOT UPDATE Cohort engagement (vets, disabled students, EOPS, others) Dual enrollment/concurrent enrollment/Middle College Faculty and staff professional development K-14 pathways programs and still others…

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