NATIONAL AND GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY: STATUS AND PROBLEMS RUSSIAN ACADEMY OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES ALL-RUSSIAN RESEARCH INSTITUTE OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS NATIONAL AND GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY: STATUS AND PROBLEMS Ivan Ushachev Vice-President of the Russian Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Director of the All-Russian Research Institute of Agricultural Economics, Academician of the Russian and the French Academy of Agricultural Sciences Report for the session of the European Association of Agricultural Academies, dedicated to 250 anniversary of the French Agricultural Academy, Paris, May 25, 2011

THE NUMBER OF HUNGRY IN THE WORLD (ACCORDING TO FAO, MLN. PEOPLE) Region YEAR 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 South Asia 180 240 300 270 265 East Asia 360 400 420 310 260 Middle East / North Africa 70 40 30 25 10 Latin America 60 50 20 Africa 170 160 Total worldwide 850 900 860 700 580 500

IMPLEMENTATION OF THE MILLENIUM PROGRAMME 250 500 750 1000 1970 1980 1991 1996 2001 2005 2008 2009 2015 MLN. The number of hungry According to the World Food Programme

FOOD PRICE INDEX ,% to 2002-2004. Source: FAO

THRESHOLDS OF FOOD SECURITY CRITERIA IN THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION grain - at least 95%; sugar - at least 80%; seed-oil – at least 80%; meat and meat products (in terms of meat) - at least 85%; milk and dairy products (in milk equivalent) – at least 90%; fishery products - at least 80%.

2030 г. 2009 г. Population projections Forecast of food production and consumption in 2030, mln tons elovek Population projections 2030 г. 2009 г.

RISKS OF PROVIDING FOOD SECURITY Macroeconomic Natural risks Technological risks Agri-environment Social Trade and economic Political

FORECAST OF REAL incomes in agriculture by 2030 due to climate warming,% Source: OECD

LEVEL OF GOVERNMENT SUPPORT OF AGRICULTURE IN VARIOUS COUNTRIES (PSE,% 2007-2009 gg.) Source: FAO

develop a common strategy to nutrition of the most vulnerable «MOSCOW DECLARATION OF THE MINISTERS OF AGRICULTURE AND AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT OF BRIC» establishment of an information base for agriculture of the BRIC countries on the basis of forecast production and consumption balance develop a common strategy to nutrition of the most vulnerable intensification of development cooperation and exchange of agricultural technology and innovation Increasing efforts by the international exchange of technologies to help reduce the negative impacts of climate change on food security and adaptation of agriculture to the changes

THE ROLE OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES OF THE GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY assessments and forecast of food security, taking into account the risks and threats, which we discussed above; rural development and improving employment, and on this basis - poverty reduction; Develop mechanisms to achieve a balance between supply and demand in the global food market; development of new methods and tools for quality control of agricultural commodities and food products, especially food products from genetically modified organisms; more effective coordination of research on bio-and nanotechnology

Thank you for your attention.