THE GLOBAL ECONOMY 2005 AND BEYOND

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Presentation transcript:

THE GLOBAL ECONOMY 2005 AND BEYOND October 27, 2004 THE GLOBAL ECONOMY 2005 AND BEYOND By JEFFREY E. GARTEN DEAN, YALE SCHOOL OF MANAGEMENT

INTRODUCTION PROSPECTS FOR 2005 KEY THEMES FOR THE FUTURE

PROSPECTS FOR 2005 CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM KEY COUNTRIES WILD CARDS

CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM LOW INFLATION REBOUNDING MARKETS EXPANDING TRADE

KEY COUNTRIES/REGIONS U.S. JAPAN CHINA EUROPEAN UNION RUSSIA

WILD CARDS END OF U.S. STIMULUS HARD LANDING IN CHINA SOARING OIL PRICES GEOPOLITICAL SET BACK

SIX KEY THEMES HUGE ECONOMIC IMBALANCES THE RISE OF CHINA AND INDIA THE DECLINE OF EUROPE

SIX KEY THEMES THE FUTURE OF RUSSIA THE PRICE AND AVAILABILITY OF ENERGY THE MANAGEMENT OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMY

HUGE ECONOMIC IMBALANCES AMERICAN DEFICITS ASIAN SURPLUSES FINANCIAL DANGERS

THE RISE OF CHINA AND INDIA ECONOMIC TRENDS IMPLICATIONS FOR THE WORLD POLICY ALTERNATIVES

THE DECLINE OF EUROPE REASONS WHY… IMPLICATIONS WHAT CAN BE DONE?

THE FUTURE OF RUSSIA DEMOCRACY AND CAPITALISM TOGETHER? PETRO-STATE ? GLOBAL ECONOMIC INTEGRATION AND COMPETITION

OIL PRICE AND AVAILABILITY A NEW PLATEAU ? THE POLICY ALTERNATIVES ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL IMPLICATIONS

THE MANAGEMENT OF WORLD ECONOMY GLOBALIZATION OR FRAGMENTATION? FUTURE OF FREE TRADE FUTURE OF INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS WHO IS IN CHARGE?

THE GLOBAL ECONOMY 2005 AND BEYOND October 27, 2004 THE GLOBAL ECONOMY 2005 AND BEYOND By JEFFREY E. GARTEN DEAN, YALE SCHOOL OF MANAGEMENT

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