Reliability of New Scores in Predicting Perioperative Mortality After Isolated Aortic Valve Surgery: A Comparison With The Society of Thoracic Surgeons.

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Reliability of New Scores in Predicting Perioperative Mortality After Isolated Aortic Valve Surgery: A Comparison With The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Score and Logistic EuroSCORE Fabio Barili, MD, PhD, Davide Pacini, MD, Antonio Capo, MD, Enrico Ardemagni, MD, Giovanni Pellicciari, MD, Marco Zanobini, MD, PhD, Claudio Grossi, MD, Khaled Mohamed Shahin, MD, Francesco Alamanni, MD, Roberto Di Bartolomeo, MD, Alessandro Parolari, MD, PhD The Annals of Thoracic Surgery Volume 95, Issue 5, Pages 1539-1544 (May 2013) DOI: 10.1016/j.athoracsur.2013.01.058 Copyright © 2013 The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Terms and Conditions

Fig 1 Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for the four models. The diagonal line represents no discriminatory power (area under the curve 0.50). (ACEF = age, creatinine, and ejection fraction; EuroSCORE = European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation; STS = The Society of Thoracic Surgeons.) The Annals of Thoracic Surgery 2013 95, 1539-1544DOI: (10.1016/j.athoracsur.2013.01.058) Copyright © 2013 The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Terms and Conditions

Fig 2 Calibration plots of the 4 scores analyzed by means of smooth nonparametric fit using the lowess algorithm. The diagonal line represents the perfect calibration. A: Calibration of ACEF score. B: Calibration of EuroSCORE II. C: Calibration of logistic EuroSCORE. D: Calibration of STS score. (ACEF = age, creatinine, and ejection fraction; EuroSCORE = European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation; STS = The Society of Thoracic Surgeons.) The Annals of Thoracic Surgery 2013 95, 1539-1544DOI: (10.1016/j.athoracsur.2013.01.058) Copyright © 2013 The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Terms and Conditions