A stock analyst selects a stock from a group of 20 for investment by choosing the stock with the greatest earnings per share reported for the last quarter.

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Presentation transcript:

A stock analyst selects a stock from a group of 20 for investment by choosing the stock with the greatest earnings per share reported for the last quarter. Identify the study as observational or experimental. Observational Experimental

“Graduating is good for your health,” according to a headline in the Boston Globe (3 April 1998). The article noted “According to the Center for Disease Control, college graduates feel better emotionally and physically than do high school dropouts.” Do you think the headline is justified based on this statement?   Yes, as long as the data was from random samples of college graduates and high school dropouts. Yes, because this must have been an observational study. As long as it was a well-designed study, the headline is justified. No, because the headline implies a cause and effect relationship, which is not justified based on an observational study. No, because this study must have been an experiment and we can’t draw cause and effect conclusions from an experiment.  

When is it unreasonable to reach a cause-and-effect conclusion based on data from a statistical study? Any time the study is based on a random sample from a population of interest. When the study is observational. When the study is a well- designed experiment that uses random assignment to experimental conditions (treatments). It is always reasonable to reach a cause-and-effect conclusion based on data from a statistical study.

Which of the following is NOT a principle of experimental design? a. Comparison of multiple treatments b. Placebo effect c. Repeat the experiment as much as possible d. Randomization

Answers: B, C, B, B