New statistical needs in light of the EU climate action policy - introduction Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm, Luxembourg, 29 April 2010 Monika Wrzesinska ESTAT E6 - Transport statistics

Scientific background: The facts The consequences The objective: max +2°C 29/04/2010 Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

Historical perspective: IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) UNFCCC (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change) stabilise the GHG emissions « at the level that would prevent dangerous, human-induced interference with the Earth’s climatic system » Kyoto Protocol 29/04/2010 Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

Political background: Kyoto versus +2°C 3 x 20% by 2020 30% ? 29/04/2010 Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm International scene : 2009 Copenhagen 2010 Cancun 2011 South Africa 29/04/2010 Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

EU’s emissions reduction targets : 20% - 30% by 2020 80% - 95% by 2050 29/04/2010 Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

GHG emissions by sector – transport 2nd biggest Share of each sector in total EU27 GHG emissions in 2006 29/04/2010 Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm And growing.. Total GHG emissions, AAGR by sector, 2000- 2006 29/04/2010 Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

endangering EU’s GHG reduction targets! Source: Ian Skinner, AEA, « EU Transport GHG: Routes to 2050? » 29/04/2010 Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

Situation within transport – by mode GHG emissions by mode of transport (C02 equivalent) 29/04/2010 Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

GHG growth by mode – past trend GHG emissions by mode of transport – AAGR 1990 to 2006 29/04/2010 Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

Share of road in GHG emissions – past trend In million of tonnes of C02 equivalent and % for 1990 to 2006 29/04/2010 Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

GHG growth by mode - future trend 29/04/2010 Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

GHG growth by mode - future trend 29/04/2010 Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

GHG emissions from transport - findings "business as usual" vs. objectives decarbonising transport - one of the priorities of the new Commission DG MOVE DG CLIMA Eurostat 29/04/2010 Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

Policy options for reducing GHG from transport Reducing demand (e.g. reducing number of trips, better spatial policy, etc) Using vehicles more efficiently (e.g. eco-driving, optimised routes, reduced speed limits, etc) Making vehicles more energy efficient (more efficient engines, better aerodynamics, lighter vehicles, etc) Decarbonising transport energy (bio-fuels, electricity, hydrogen, wind, solar, etc) 29/04/2010 Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

Illustrative scenario tool http://www.eutransportghg2050.eu/cms/illustrative-scenario-tool/ 29/04/2010 Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

Findings from the illustrative scenario tool Source: Ian Skinner, AEA, on the basis of the EU transport GHG 2050 tool 29/04/2010 Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm Conclusions All known policy options will have to be fully implemented Additional even more far reaching measures at all levels - EU, MSs and regional will have to be applied Close monitoring of progress in emissions reductions and efficiency of various measures will be crucial Need for better targeted, high quality, reliable data ! 29/04/2010 Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm

Useful links Eurostat’s website and publications, such as « Panorama of Transport » 2009 edition « Using official statistics to calculate greenhouse gas emissions - A statistical guide” 2010 edition http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/publications/recently_published EU Transport GHG: Routes to 2050 project website: http://www.eutransportghg2050.eu/cms/about-the-project/ - Transport and climate action sections of Europa website: http://europa.eu/pol/trans/index_en.htm http://europa.eu/pol/env/index_en.htm Thank you for your attention ! 29/04/2010 Task Force on the measurement of road traffic volumes in VKm