Basic of Stock Investment

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Presentation transcript:

Basic of Stock Investment Cambodia Securities Exchange, Securities Depository Department

Content 1. Basic Concepts of Stock Investment 2. Stock Investment Analysis 3. Investment Psychology 4. Case Studies

1. Basic of Stock Investment Saving: Short-term Indirect investment to a company through a bank Investment: Long-term Direct investment to a company with the future expectation of receiving a company’s business profit Returns are changeable (Risk) Speculation: Short-term or very short-term No Safety​ Guarantee in Return

1. Basic of Stock Investment 4 factors to determine your success or failure in stock investment: 1. Psychological Quality; Self-Confidence 2. Ability of Fundamental and Technical Analysis 3. Habit of Doing Research, Doing Hard, and Being Diligence 4. Luck អ្នកខ្លះបានតែថា, អ្នកខ្លះបានតែធ្វើ, អ្នកខ្លះមិនថាក៏មិនធ្វើ

1. Basic of Stock Investment Stock Investment Tips: Know your personality How much risk can you tolerate? How long do you plan to invest for? Do you need quick access to your money? How much do you expect to make on your investments? Understand clearly the type of business the company is involved before you invest. Long-term average return is about the GDP growth rate. Know your expected return rate and risk tolerance. Understand all of transaction costs. Always maintain an adequate cash reserve to cover unexpected expenditure, emergencies and new investment opportunities. Conducting Portfolio Investment

2. Stock Investment Analysis Methods of Investment Analysis: Fundamental Analysis Would like to know that the price is undervalued or overvalued. Use concept/theories of Economics, Financial Management, Industrial Economics, etc.. Technical Analysis: Observe behaviors of Mr. Market, and predict the future trend. We observe the price movement, trading volume, time, etc..

2. Stock Investment Analysis Technical Analysis answer the questions: What to buy? When to buy? When to sell? 3 assumptions of technical analysis: 1. The market discount everything 2. History tends to repeat itself 3. Price moves in trends Why stock prices go up and down?

Technical Vs. Fundamental Analysis 2. Stock Investment Analysis Technical Vs. Fundamental Analysis Short term or Speculation: Fundamental and Technical are used at the same time Middle-Long-term: Fundamental Analysis Technical: to observe the feeling of Mr. Market Fundamental: to find the intrinsic value Which analysis method is more important? For the current situation of Cambodia stock market, what kind of analysis should we learn/use?

Understanding the value of stock 2. Stock Investment Analysis Understanding the value of stock The Generalized Dividend Valuation Model Where we assume the investor will hold the stock for n periods, receiving the stream of dividends D1, D2, …, Dn and sell the stock for price Pn.

2. Stock Investment Analysis Ratio Analysis Price/Earnings ratio Price/Book value ratio The lower PBR or PER, the more undervalued the company. “ Buy Recommendation ” Price/Earnings = Market price per share EPS(Earnings/Share) Price/Book Value = Market price per share Book value (Tangible Assets-Liabilities) per share

3. Investment Psychology

3. Investment Psychology Investment Technique: Individual critical thinking (Don’t listen to rumor) If the stock price increases so much, what will you do? If the stock price decreases so much, what will you do? Adopt information widely, analyze carefully Country economy, listed companies, stock trading Buy low, Sell high; in a suitable range (លោភៈ) ទោសៈ មោហៈ Make a prompt decision, without panic

3. Investment Psychology Positive mindset is the essential factor of success in stock investment. < Some bad habits in stock investment៖ Like cheap price stock too stubborn Not greedy or too greedy over self-confident

Case Study1: Isaac Newton

Case Study 2: Warren Buffett Chairman & CEO of Berkshire Hathaway Net worth: US$66.4 billion (May 2016), started from around $6000 at the age 15. He is the most successful investor in the world. He likes undervalued growth stocks (Value Investing). “Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy and Greedy When Others Are Fearful”, he said.