Howard Maccabee, PhD, MD 2009.

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Presentation transcript:

Howard Maccabee, PhD, MD 2009

The IPCC projections are wrong

What is the Earth’s normal temperature? Historical Evidence – The last 1,000 yrs

Note 342=1370÷4 (ave. during 24h) See also: Schneider (1987) Sci.Am. 256(5) 72-80

CO2 T CH4 Nature, Vol.388, p.431, 3 June 1999

“High-resolution records from Antarctic ice cores show that carbon dioxide concen- trations increased by 80 to 100 [ppmv] 600±400 years after the warming of the last three deglaciations.” (Fischer et al., 1999 Science, vol. 283, 1712-1714) PRE HOC ERGO NON PROPTER HOC?

From Jevrejevon, et al (2006) Leuliette, et al (2004), Robinson et al (2007)

Evidence of Sea Levels While Sea levels were rising slowly since 1850, They have remained stationary since 2006, again against the predictions.

From Oerlemanns, J. (2005), Gruell & Smeets (2001), Robinson, et al

THE CHILLING STARS Svensmark & Calder, 2007

Note doubling of solar magnetic flux in 100 yrs. Nature, Vol.399, p.438, 3 June 1999 Note doubling of solar magnetic flux in 100 yrs.

SVENSMARK & CALDER (2007)

Northern hemisphere temperature variations (*) since 1860, compared to solar activity (inverse sunspot cycle length (+)). From Friis-Christensen and Lassen, Science, v.254, p.698-700 (1991).

From Robinson, et al (2007), Morland, et al (2007), Soon (2005), Hoyt & Schatten (1993)

From Lomborg, “Cool It” (2007)

MODEL OF McMICHAEL, et al., 2006

EUROWINTER GROUP, LANCET (1997) 349, 1342

In summer, reducing overall mortality. Revised schematic representation of how increased average temp. would affect mortality, by shifting distribution to right. Decreased cold-related deaths in winter would outweigh heat-related deaths In summer, reducing overall mortality. 2005 TEMPERATURE RANGE 2050 TEMPERATURE RANGE MEAN DAILY TEMPERATURE

FROM GOKLANY (2007 P.169

From Idso & Idso (1974)

Here is what happens with more CO2 Is CO2 Plant Food? Here is what happens with more CO2 385 ppm 535 ppm 685 ppm 835 ppm

REFERENCES P.1

P.2