Do Now 5/18 How many license plates are in both group V and group E? Essential Question: How can you determine if 2 events are independent?

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Conditional Probability and Independence. Learning Targets 1. I can calculate conditional probability using a 2-way table. 2. I can determine whether.
Advertisements

7/20 The following table shows the number of people that like a particular fast food restaurant. 1)What is the probability that a person likes Wendy’s?
Dependent and Independent Events. If you have events that occur together or in a row, they are considered to be compound events (involve two or more separate.
Conditional Probability and Independence Section 3.6.
Conditional Probability CCM2 Unit 6: Probability.
EXAMPLE 4 Find a conditional probability Weather The table shows the numbers of tropical cyclones that formed during the hurricane seasons from 1988 to.
ADAPTED FROM WALCH EDUCATION Using Two-Way Frequency Tables.
Discuss With A Neighbor Look at the spinners below: If you spin each spinner one time, what is the probability that you will land on an odd number.
EXAMPLE 4 Find a conditional probability Weather The table shows the numbers of tropical cyclones that formed during the hurricane seasons from 1988 to.
Statistical Reasoning for everyday life Intro to Probability and Statistics Mr. Spering – Room 113.
Warm-Up 1. Expand (x 2 – 4) 7 1. Find the 8 th term of (2x + 3) 10.
Intro to Probability Section 4.2. PROBABILITY All probabilities must be between 0 and 1.
Introduction Data can be presented in many different ways. In the previous lesson, you worked with data in conditional probabilities to interpret the relationships.
Recap from last lesson Compliment Addition rule for probabilities
Algebra II 10.4: Find Probabilities of Disjoint and Overlapping Events HW: HW: p.710 (8 – 38 even) Chapter 10 Test: Thursday.
13.3 Conditional Probability and Intersections of Events Understand how to compute conditional probability. Calculate the probability of the intersection.
Tues 9/4 & Wed 9/5 AGENDA Warm up text p.805; Go over homework Test Review Game Go over review packet.
Conditional Probability. Suppose you roll two dice Does the result of one of the dice affect what the result of the second one will be? No These are independent.
MATH 110 Sec 13.3 Conditional Probability Practice Exercises.
Representing Data for Finding Probabilities There are 35 students 20 take math 25 take science 15 take both Venn Diagram Contingency table M^M.
7/20 The following table shows the number of people that like a particular fast food restaurant. 1)What is the probability that a person likes Wendy’s?
Single Pick Probability AND vs. OR Sequential Probability With Replacement Conditional Disjoint vs. Non Disjoint Unit 4 – Probability – Part 1.
Independent Events The occurrence (or non- occurrence) of one event does not change the probability that the other event will occur.
Warm-up 1)You roll a number cube once. Then roll it again. What is the probability that you get 2 on the first roll and a number greater than 4 on the.
Conditional Probability and the Multiplication Rule NOTES Coach Bridges.
Chapter 10 – Data Analysis and Probability 10.7 – Probability of Compound Events.
Single Pick Probability AND vs. OR Sequential Probability With Replacement Conditional Disjoint vs. Non Disjoint Unit 4 – Probability – Part 1.
I can find probabilities of compound events.. Compound Events  Involves two or more things happening at once.  Uses the words “and” & “or”
P4. Probability Essential Question: How is an independent event defined?
Independent and Dependent Events Lesson 6.6. Getting Started… You roll one die and then flip one coin. What is the probability of : P(3, tails) = 2. P(less.
16.2 Probability of Events Occurring Together
Good morning! August 14, Good morning! August 14, 2017.
Section 5.4 Day 2.
GCSE: Tree Diagrams and Frequency Trees
2.3 Probability and Odds Objective: Given a description an event, find the probability and/or the odds of the event happening (including replacement and.
12.5 Probability Of Independent Events
10.7: Probability of Compound Events Test : Thursday, 1/16
Learn to find the probability of independent and dependent events.
Independent & Dependent Events
Good afternoon! August 9, 2017.
Probability Review of Basic Facts
= Basic Probability Notes Basics of Probability Probability
12.4 Probability of Compound Events
Lesson 23.1 conditional probability
LEARNING GOAL The student will understand how to calculate the probability of an event.
Sec. 5-4: Multiplication Rule & Conditional P(x)
Multiplication Rule and Conditional Probability
Conditional Probability
5/22.
Warm-up 7/20 3/5 3/4 Male Female 25 McDonald’s Burger King
The probability of event P happening is 0. 34
5/16.
Independent and Dependent Events
I can find probabilities of compound events.
10.1 Notes: Theoretical and experimental probability
Probability Key Questions
Chapter 14 – From Randomness to Probability
Section 6.2 Probability Models
Splash Screen.
Compound Probability.
Independent vs. Dependent events
Conditional Probability
Click the mouse button or press the Space Bar to display the answers.
Conditional Probability
Warm-Up #10 Wednesday 2/24 Find the probability of randomly picking a 3 from a deck of cards, followed by face card, with replacement. Dependent or independent?
Types of Events Groups of 3 Pick a Card
Conditional Probability
Using Two-Way Frequency Tables (4.2.2)
Chapter 4 Lecture 3 Sections: 4.4 – 4.5.
Compound Events – Independent and Dependent
Presentation transcript:

Do Now 5/18 How many license plates are in both group V and group E? Essential Question: How can you determine if 2 events are independent?

Agenda Do Now Good Things! Recap: Independent vs Dependent Frequency Tables Notes: Proving independence from frequency tables

GOOD THINGS

Lesson Intro P(A and B) = P(A) • P(B) Law of Large Numbers More data = more reliable results Independent – not influenced by other events Key words: “with replacement” Dependent – the first event before changes what happens in the future Also called “conditional” probability Key words: “without replacement” or “given that” Independent Dependent P(A and B) = P(A) • P(B)

Determine the Probability What is the probability that 2 cards selected from a standard deck of 52 cards without replacement are both red? What is the probability that 2 cards selected from a standard deck of 52 cards without replacement are both non-face cards?

Frequency Tables The VERY FIRST THING you should do when you see a frequency table is to find the totals – every time. Total for each column Total for each row Total of entire table

Frequency Tables Which probability is the greatest? A. The probability that a student went to Red River given that the student is a pre-law major B. The probability that a student went to South Lake given that the student is a marine science major C. The probability that a student is a marine science major given that the student went to Red River D. the probability that a student went to South Lake A

Independent Events What does this mean????? Events A and B are independent events if: What does this mean????? The probability of one event happening given that another event happened is the exact same as if the other one never happened!!

Independent Events Let’s say that Event A is “having pasta for dinner”, and Event B is “Thursday.” If the probability of having pasta for dinner is the same regardless of what day it is, then it is INDEPENDENT of Event B, “Thursday.”

Independent Events Grade Activity choice Total Talent show Field trip Dance 10 4 8 2 14 11 5 3 6 12 1 9 17 40 This is the same chart as yesterday, so if you have it in your notes flip to it

Frequency Tables and Independent Events Events A and B are independent events if: Let’s see if being a 11th grader is independent from voting for a field trip. A = field trip B = 11th grade P(Field Trip| 11th grade)? P(Field Trip)? Same result if you do it backwards as well P(11th grade |Field Trip)? P(11th grade)?

Frequency Tables and Independent Events

Practice Problems! ~25 minutes We will review the work together at the end! http://www.problem-attic.com/test/ljhddwqv