Dunkin Brands Valuation

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
T3.1 Chapter Outline Chapter 11 Working With Financial Statements Chapter Organization 3.1Cash Flow and Financial Statements: A Closer Look 3.2Standardized.
Advertisements

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2013 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Stock Valuation Chapter 9 (8)
When Thinking About Valuation…  Key valuation questions are:  What is the company worth?  What would another party pay?  Remember that valuation involves.
Fin 4201/8001 Topic 4: Valuing Companies The early years….Ratios.
QDai for FEUNL Finanças Nov 30. QDai for FEUNL Topics covered  Capital budgeting with debt Adjusted Present Value Approach Flows to Equity Approach Weighted.
VALUATION OF FIRMS IN MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS OKAN BAYRAK.
Valuation: Comps and Premiums Executive Masters Program Tim Thompson.
Valuation Chapter 17: 6,9,11,13,15. Myths about valuation Since valuation models are quantitative, valuation is objective A well-researched and well-done.
Fin 4201/ Ratios Measure strength of various firm aspects Informational needs of creditors and investors Facilitate time-series or cross-sectional.
Firm Value 03/11/2008 Ch What is a firm worth? Firm Value is the future cash flow to each of the claimants Shareholders Debt holders Government.
L ION G OLD C ORP C ASE S TUDY Tan Weihan. Disclaimer and Declaration The objective of the presentation is for educational purposes. The full content.
Enterprise Value What is Enterprise Value? –Market Value of Equity plus debt minus cash and investments Why is it used? –To more accurately reflect the.
Valuation Terms and Ratios Tanveer Chandok (Director of Mentorship)
Financial Statement Analysis MIM 517 Class 4 Fall 2010.
Business Valuations  Highly visible companies tend to be called as market leaders because of various competitive advantages enjoyed by them.  Does that.
BU Finance & Investment Club Joseph McNiff & Xun Yao Chen Spring 2013 Introduction to Valuation.
Multiples Analysis. Agenda Financial Statements Financial Metrics Liquidity and Solvency Evaluating Firm Value and Size Market Multiples (Comparables)
Christopher B. Stone ‘01 Present value of future cash flow r = discount rate n = number of periods Discounting: calculation of present values Compounding:
Tyson Foods, Inc..
Key Concepts and Skills
Investments: Analysis and Behavior Chapter 10- Financial Statement Analysis ©2008 McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
Today’s Goal Equip and inspire you to participate more fully in the Investment Club Evaluate companies for Stock Reports –Post reports on the website Valuation.
METHANEX: Valuation and Strategic Review MICHAEL COOK ERIN ROBINSON PHIL WALLACE RUSHAB HARIA RAJANVIR AHUJA Recommendation: BUY 1-year Price Target: C$36.15.
Financial Analysis of Starbucks
TIME WARNER(NYSE:MOS) NOVEMBER 7, 2013 Zijian (Paddy) Gu, Zige (Z) He, Charalampos (Haris) Ntantanis Dec. 5, 2013.
Netgear, Inc April/03/2012 Presentors: Ryo-Seob(Joseph) Kim Jionghan(JD) Dai Han(Henry) Yang Pattharaporn (Pauline) Lertphaiboonsiri Yen-Hua(Gina) Huang.
The Nuts & Bolts of Investment Banking: Understanding Key Financial Concepts Andrea O’Neal & Patrice Mitchell Investment Banking Program Managers.
STAPLES COMPANY VALUATION JACKIE PHAN LATRISHA SEARCY ANNA DAI.
Intro to Financial Management Evaluating a Firm’s Financial Performance.
Relative Valuation Methods. Car Example How much are you willing to pay for a new Lexus?
Chapter 2 Financial Ratio Analysis. 2-2 Example 2.1 Problem  Rylan Enterprises has 5 million shares outstanding.  The market price per share is $22.
Chapter 2 Introduction to Financial Statement Analysis.
Advanced Corporate Finance GMIF Additional Material.
Portfolio Managers: Honglu Liu Min Min Chen Rafi Qi He Presented April 17, /14/2015.
1 Chapter 03 Analyzing Financial Statements McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
23-1 Intermediate Accounting James D. Stice Earl K. Stice © 2012 Cengage Learning PowerPoint presented by Douglas Cloud Professor Emeritus of Accounting,
Financial Ratio Analysis
Presented by: Lauren Rudd Tel: March 26, 2013.
Financial Statement Analysis. 2 Internal UsersExternal Users Financial statement analysis helps users make better decisions. Managers Officers Internal.
1 Research term paper Five major sections: Company background / introduction Competitive strengths Financial analysis (focus section) Stock valuation analysis.
Business Analysis and Valuation Prof. Arturo Capasso Relative Valuation.
 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 INVESTMENTS Fourth Edition Bodie Kane Marcus Irwin/McGraw-Hill 19-1 Financial Statement Analysis Chapter 19.
Rivanna Investments: Intro to Equity Research. Rivanna Investments First step is to gather information Financial statement and reports (EDGAR)
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS.
Tyler Mumbleau Sunday January 29, 2017
CHAPTER 4 Analysis of Financial Statements
Prepared by: Carole Bowman, Sheridan College
Session 8: DCF Valuation
Intermediate Financial Accounting Earl K. Stice James D. Stice
Prepared by: Keri Norrie, Camosun College
Financial Statement Analysis
13 Equity Valuation Bodie, Kane, and Marcus
Presentation on Cross Sectional Analysis Between Metro Spinning and Saiham Textile
University of Winnipeg Investment Group
Principles of Investing FIN 330
UNAUDITED HALF YEAR RESULTS
SIC Weekly Educational Component 10/24/16
VALUATION OF FIRMS IN MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS
Financial Metrics October 10, Jigar Bhakta.
Multiyear Projections and Valuation
Cross-border Mergers & acquisitions
Daves Chapter 4 Estimating the Value of ACME
Daves Chapter 4 Estimating the Value of ACME
Cross-border Mergers & acquisitions
DES Chapter 4 Estimating the Value of ACME
Financial Statement Analysis
Investment Banking Bootcamp: Week 3 – Accounting
Walgreens Boots Alliance
FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS
Presentation transcript:

Dunkin Brands Valuation Rebecca Sanders, Nathan Stadheim, John Markwiese, Tong Chen, Jiashuo Zhang, and Mohammed Hardan

Target Company Dunkin Brand Group Inc. franchises quick service restaurants serving hot and cold coffee and baked goods as well as ice cream. Leading multi-concept quick-service restaurant franchisor that operates both the Dunkin’ Donuts and Baskin-Robbins chains here in the U.S. and around the World. Company went public on July 2011 and trades on Nasdaq

Current Events Panera Bread was purchased by JAB Holdings (Barron’s -April 8 edition). The Panera takeover was the third such deal in just 45 days, following Darden’s (DRI) purchase of Cheddar’s Sandwich Kitchen and Restaurant Brands Internationals (QSR) take out of popeyes Louisiana Chicken. In the immediate aftermath of the Panera deal Dunkin, which was rumored to be a potential target of JAB, traded off 3%. JAB Holdings and Panera Bread Co agreed to merge in a $7.5 billion in which Panera’s shareholders will receive $315 per share in cash. Dunkin' Brands Announces Dividend Increase in 2017 First Quarter Dunkin' Brands Group, Inc. to Announce First Quarter 2017 Results Dunkin’ Brands announced CFO leadership transition--Paul Carbone, Dunkin’ Brands CFO is leaving the company effective April 21, 2017 for a general management position in the specialty retail industry, where he worked prior to Dunkin’ Brands. Dunkin’ Brands vice president, finance and treasurer, has been appointed to serve as interim CFO upon his departure.

Comparable Companies Benchmark/Valuation Numbers DNKN MCD SBUX PZZA SONC CMG Debt/Tot. Cap 107% 35% 109% 0% Debt/EBITDA 5.4x 2.8x 0.7x 1.7x 0.9x 0.0x Net Debt/EBITDA 4.8x 2.6x 0.2x 1.6x 2.2x P/E 39.74 21.84 29.22 20.55 34.47 166.95 ROA 6% 2% 21.05% 20.44% 10.01% ROE 7.61% 14.18% 48.16% 316.98% N/A 1.30% EV/EBITDA 18.1x 15.1x 17.1x 19.7x 79.2x 15.2x ROA #’s, and EV/EBITDA from: http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/SONC/profile ROE is from Yahoo Finance

Comparable Companies - Benchmarks/Valuation Based on the Dunkin’s numbers compared to those of the industry, Dunkin should be traded at a discount Higher leverage than competitors Lower ROA Lower ROE Trades at premium P/E We used the EV/EBITDA multiple to value Dunkin’ because EV/EBITDA is independent of the capital structure since high level debt doesn't affect the company’s valuation Could argue for a lower valuation suppose to higher vs. competitors

Precedent Transactions Analysis EV/EBITA= 17.9 (avg. excluding Boston chicken deal) Dunkins EV= $7,879,383,100

Discounted Cash Flow Drop in Gross Profit, EBIT, and EBITDA from 2016-2017 Increase in projected Sales and COGS from 2016-2021

DCF Valuation Actual Share price: 54.90 Using Market Value Debt-to-Cap: 28% Equity-to-Cap 72% WACC: 3.7% Re-levered Beta: 0.79 Interest Coverage Ratio Strong Will be able to pay off interest on debts EBIT/Interest Expense 2014-17 Ranges: 4.23-5.29 Used market value instead of book value because of negative shareholders equity

End Valuation Comparable Analysis Enterprise Value = $8,005,380,000 Precedent Transaction Enterprise Value = $7,879,383,100 Discounted Cash Flow Enterprise Value = $8,494,474,500 Average Enterprise Value = $8,126,412,530 Implied Price per Share = $67.02