2016 Nonroad Collaborative Work Group

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Presentation transcript:

2016 Nonroad Collaborative Work Group 29 November 2018 Local Conference Lines: Main line: 202-991-0477 EPA Region 1 (Boston): 857-702-8290 EPA Region 2 (NYC): 347-384-7287 EPA Region 3 (Philadelphia): 484-352-3221 EPA Region 4 (Atlanta): 470-705-2279 EPA Region 5 (Chicago): 312-667-7115 EPA Region 6 (Dallas): 469-250-2701 EPA Region 7 (Kansas City): 913-608-8349 EPA Region 8 (Denver): 720-642-6536 EPA Region 9 (San Francisco): 628-246-1294 EPA Region 10 (Seattle): 206-800-4483 EPA RTP (Raleigh): 984-444-7480 Conference ID: 6926578

Meeting Agenda Nonroad 2016 beta inventory Posted materials County-level equipment populations Nonroad 2016 v1 inventory v1 timeline Progress in Updating Geographic Allocations Other business

Nonroad beta inventory EPA has compiled the 2016, 2023, and 2028 beta nonroad inventories. Summary files posted on EPA’s ftp (ftp://newftp.epa.gov/air/emismod/2016/beta/reports/nonroad/): all_years_by_state: directory that contains monthly inventories (AQ inputs) from the 2016, 2023, and 2028 MOVES2014b nonroad runs, by nonroad SCC and pollutant. Zip files organized by state (FIPS). maps: directory that contains national maps of 2016 beta inventory, organized by pollutant and equipment sector. Also included: Maps of equipment population by equipment sector (constant over the year) Maps of source hours (hours/month) by equipment sector for January, April, July, and September 2016 beta nonroad comparison 26oct2018.xlsx: comparison of alpha and beta 2016 nonroad inventories by state-SCC 2016 beta nonroad activity summaries: 2016beta nonroad activity summary – by sector.xlsx 2016beta nonroad activity summary – population by SCC.xlsx 2016beta nonroad activity summary – population with emissions.xlsx nonroad state 2011en 2023en 2028el 2016ff 2023ff 2028ff.xlsx: comparison of beta inventories with 2011 v6.3 platform

Equipment Populations - Beta Inventory Total number of Agricultural equipment units (incl. AK, HI, VI, PR): 3,363,267 Dominated by Agricultural Tractors (49.8%), Tillers (25.3%), and Combines (10.3%)

Equipment Populations - Beta Inventory Total number of Construction equipment units (incl. AK, HI, VI, PR): 3,119,570 Dominated by Skid Steer Loaders (19.7%), Tractors/Loaders/Backhoes (12.7%) and Cement and Mortar Mixers (9.7%)

Equipment Populations - Beta Inventory Total number of Lawn & Garden (Residential + Commercial) equipment units (incl. AK, HI, VI, PR): 111,823,829 Dominated by Residential Lawn Mowers (35.2%), Residential Trimmers/Edgers/Brush Cutters (15.1%) and Residential Lawn and Garden Tractors (13.1%)

Equipment Populations - Beta Inventory Total number of Recreational equipment units (incl. AK, HI, VI, PR): 8,514,900 Dominated by ATVs (54.0%), Snowmobiles (20.2%), and Off-road Motorcycles(16.5%)

Nonroad v1 inventory v1 Timeline EPA planning to kick-off v1 model runs at the end of February States planning to submit data should do so by January 15th Submissions should be sent to Sarah Roberts and Alison Eyth Work group’s geographic allocation updates should also be completed by January 15th Progress in Updating Geographic Allocations Agriculture Lawn & Garden Recreational Construction

Geographic Allocations: Construction New allocation surrogates developed using three datasets 2016 County Business Patterns (CBP): Number of business establishments corresponding to NAICS 237 (Civil and Heavy Engineering Construction) at the county level 2012 Economic Census: Cost of off-highway use of gasoline and fuel (CSTFUOF) corresponding to NAICS 237 at the state level. CSTFUOF values adjusted by applying Area Modification Factors corresponding to construction material costs. State-level CSTFUOF then allocated to counties using 2016 CBP data used in (1) above. 2014 NEI Construction Dust Estimates: construction dust estimates are a function of acreage disturbed by residential, non-residential, and road construction. Sum of acres disturbed used as surrogate. Next steps: Review spreadsheet (‘2016_NAICS 237_NR update3.xlsx’) containing results from all three methods. Available on wiki and Google Drive Provide feedback to Sarah by next WG meeting (January 3)

Geographic Allocations: Construction

Other Business / Reminders Questions and Discussion Work Group meeting minutes and related files and links available on Work Group wiki: http://views.cira.colostate.edu/wiki/wiki/9179 Larger data files on Work Group Google Drive and EPA ftp: https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1Q3s1bqTXt3w2LAd5h-nJeUyMNnHnKjBy ftp://newftp.epa.gov/air/emismod/2016/beta/reports/nonroad/ Next meeting: January 3rd @ 3:30pm EST