EDO Drought News May 2011 Jürgen Vogt Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit Institute for Environment and Sustainability http://desert.jrc.ec.europa.eu/

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Presentation transcript:

EDO Drought News May 2011 Jürgen Vogt Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit Institute for Environment and Sustainability http://desert.jrc.ec.europa.eu/ http://edo.jrc.ec.europa.eu/

SPI-1 May 2011

SPI-3 May 2011

SPI-12 May 2011

Cumulated Rainfall 1 Jan to 6 June 2011

FAPAR April to May 2011

FAPAR Trend between 03/04 and 03/05

Precipitation Forecast 7 to 17 June 2011

Explain better the methodology Key Questions Explain better the methodology Only one distribution (no choice) preferred Clear definition of reference period (start, end) Clustering of stations might be good (to avoid limited no. of stations) Gamma-3 (Pearson-3?) even better?