MIS2502: Data Analytics Field Experiments and Natural Experiments

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MIS2502: Data Analytics Field Experiments and Natural Experiments Acknowledgement: Shuting Wang

Field Experiments Definition: A field experiment applies the scientific method to experimentally examine an intervention in the real world (or as many experimentalists like to say, naturally occurring environments) rather than in the laboratory. Method (A/B testing): Field experiments generally randomize subjects (or other sampling units) into treatment and control groups and compare outcomes between these groups.

Field Experiments Advantages: Field experiments are sometimes seen as having higher external validity than laboratory experiments. Disadvantages: Field experiments suffer from the possibility of contamination: experimental conditions can be controlled with more precision and certainty in the lab.

Field Experiments Advantages: Field experiments are sometimes seen as having higher external validity than laboratory experiments. Disadvantages: Field experiments suffer from the possibility of contamination: experimental conditions can be controlled with more precision and certainty in the lab.

Field Experiments Example 1: Compare student performance of two classes Example 2: Test how advertisements on social media affect sales Example 3: Test the impact of education on incomes

Natural Experiments Definition: A natural experiment is an empirical study in which individuals (or clusters of individuals) are exposed to the experimental and control conditions that are determined by nature or by other factors outside the control of the investigators. E.g., Philadelphia increased sales tax by 1% in July 2014 Method (Difference-in-Difference): A statistical technique attempts to mimic an experimental research design using observational study data, by studying the differential effect of a treatment on a 'treatment group' versus a 'control group' in a natural experiment.

Natural Experiments Advantages: Natural experiments can be employed as study designs when controlled experimentation is extremely difficult to implement or unethical. E.g., test the impact of age or gender Disadvantages: Natural experiments cannot control for all conditions that pave the way for causal inference. E.g., reverse causality, the decision of the policy change is made based on the future outcome; E.g., omitted variable bias, the decision of the policy change is made based on an unobserved factor that is related to the future outcome;

Natural Experiments Example 1: Test the impact of gender on incomes Example 2: Test the impact of education on incomes Example 3: Test the impact of learning SQL on incomes