Chapter 3 Valuing Bonds Principles of Corporate Finance Tenth Edition

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Presentation transcript:

Chapter 3 Valuing Bonds Principles of Corporate Finance Tenth Edition Slides by Matthew Will McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2010 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved

Valuing a Bond Cash Flows Sept 18 19 20 21 22 115 115 115 115 1115 Example If today is October 1, 2017, what is the value of the following bond? An IBM Bond pays $115 every September 30 for 5 years. In September 2022 it pays an additional $1000 and retires the bond. The bond is rated AAA (WSJ AAA YTM is 7.5%) Cash Flows Sept 18 19 20 21 22 115 115 115 115 1115

Valuing a Bond Example continued If today is October 1, 2017, what is the value of the following bond? An IBM Bond pays $115 every September 30 for 5 years. In September 2022 it pays an additional $1000 and retires the bond. The bond is rated AAA (WSJ AAA YTM is 7.5%)

Valuing a Bond Example - Germany In July 2016 you purchase 100 Euros of bonds in Germany which pay a 5% coupon every year. If the bond matures in 2022 and the YTM is 3.8%, what is the value of the bond?

Valuing a Bond Another Example - Japan In July 2016 you purchase 200 Yen of bonds in Japan which pay a 8% coupon every year. If the bond matures in 2021 and the YTM is 4.5%, what is the value of the bond?

Valuing a Bond Example - USA In July 2016 you purchase a 3 year US Government bond. The bond has an annual coupon rate of 4%, paid semi-annually. If investors demand a 2.48% return on 6 month investments, what is the price of the bond?

Valuing a Bond Example continued - USA Take the same 3 year US Government bond. The bond has an annual coupon rate of 4%, paid semi-annually. If investors demand a 1.50% return on 6 month investments, what is the new price of the bond?

Bond Prices and Yields Bond Price, % Interest Rates, %

Maturity and Prices Bond Price, % Interest Rates, %

Term Structure Year Spot Rate - The actual interest rate today (t=0) YTM (r) 1981 1987 & Normal 1976 Year 1 5 10 20 30 Spot Rate - The actual interest rate today (t=0) Forward Rate - The interest rate, fixed today, on a loan made in the future at a fixed time. Future Rate - The spot rate that is expected in the future Yield To Maturity (YTM) - The IRR on an interest bearing instrument

Yield to Maturity Example A $1000 treasury bond expires in 5 years. It pays a coupon rate of 10.5%. If the market price of this bond is 107.88, what is the YTM?

Yield to Maturity Example A $1000 treasury bond expires in 5 years. It pays a coupon rate of 10.5%. If the market price of this bond is 107.88, what is the YTM? C0 C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 -1078.80 105 105 105 105 1105 Calculate IRR = 8.5%

Term Structure What Determines the Shape of the TS? 1 - Unbiased Expectations Theory 2 - Liquidity Premium Theory 3 - Market Segmentation Hypothesis Term Structure & Capital Budgeting CF should be discounted using Term Structure info Since the spot rate incorporates all forward rates, then you should use the spot rate that equals the term of your project. If you believe in other theories take advantage of the arbitrage.

Debt & Interest Rates Classical Theory of Interest Rates (Economics) developed by Irving Fisher Nominal Interest Rate = The rate you actually pay when you borrow money Real Interest Rate = The theoretical rate you pay when you borrow money, as determined by supply and demand r Supply Real r Demand $ Qty

Debt & Interest Rates Nominal r = Real r + expected inflation (approximation) Real r is theoretically somewhat stable Inflation is a large variable Q: Why do we care? A: This theory allows us to understand the Term Structure of Interest Rates. Q: So What? A: The Term Structure tells us the cost of debt.

Debt & Interest Rates Actual formula