IMPACT ~ Breach Formation (WP2)

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Presentation transcript:

IMPACT ~ Breach Formation (WP2) Overview (4th IMPACT WS)

Breach Formation The Problem to be Solved - AIMS Problem to solve: The reliable prediction of breach formation (and hence potential: flood hydrograph / flood risk breach size Approach to identifying potential breach location

Breach Formation The Approach The overall approach entails combining large scale field work, lab work and numerical model development / application. Field Modelling Lab Modelling Numerical Modelling 5-6m embankments 1:10 scale embankments Multi-partner Multi-model Desk / Data Analysis for Breach Location

Breach Formation Work Programme Year 1: 2 x 6m field tests in Norway 9 x 0.6m lab tests at Wallingford Widen numerical modelling team and integrate modelling programme with field and lab

10:25

11:27

12:23

13:05

Breach Formation Work Programme Year 2: 3 x 6m field tests in Norway 13 x 0.6m lab tests at Wallingford Numerical modelling integrates with field and lab modelling Initiate breach location work (factors and methodology)

Breach Formation Work Programme Year 3: Finalising numerical modelling comparisons Breach location (factors and methodology) Application to combined risk assessment / uncertainty

Breach Formation Direction of work: Analysis of this data permits: Consideration of scaling differences between field and lab data Comparison of controlled test results against observed field data Objective performance assessment of multiple numerical models predicting breach formation Base data for validation and model development

Breach Formation Deliverables (Overview) Field and lab data on breach formation different geometries & materials Comparison and development of breach models various partner models model interface for direct comparison commercial products Approach for identifying potential breach location ----------