Current and future impact of osteoarthritis on health care: a population-based study with projections to year 2032 A. Turkiewicz, I.F. Petersson, J.

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Current and future impact of osteoarthritis on health care: a population-based study with projections to year 2032 A. Turkiewicz, I.F. Petersson, J. Björk, G. Hawker, L.E. Dahlberg, L.S. Lohmander, M. Englund Osteoarthritis and Cartilage Volume 22, Issue 11, Pages 1826-1832 (November 2014) DOI: 10.1016/j.joca.2014.07.015 Copyright © 2014 Osteoarthritis Research Society International Terms and Conditions

Fig. 1 The 2012 site distribution of OA that burdens health care and its overlap in adults aged ≥45. Numbers are percentages of all cases with OA. Other – includes OA of joints other than knee, hip and hand such as shoulder, elbow, ankle and foot, jaw and polyarthrosis (excluding Bouchard's and Heberden's nodes as those are included in the hand). Other combinations – includes all combinations of knee, hand, hip and other, not already listed in a pie. Spine is not included. Osteoarthritis and Cartilage 2014 22, 1826-1832DOI: (10.1016/j.joca.2014.07.015) Copyright © 2014 Osteoarthritis Research Society International Terms and Conditions

Fig. 2 The 2012 prevalence and the projection for years 2013–2032 of OA that burdens health care. The projection is based on the predicted changes in age-structure of the Swedish population, predicted increase in the age and sex specific prevalence of overweight and obesity in Sweden and differential effects of increased BMI on different joint sites. The lower boundary of the gray area shows the projected prevalence when assuming the impact of BMI on the incidence of OA equal to the lower confidence level and the increase in the prevalence of overweight and obesity 10% lower than that observed in Sweden between 1988 and 2010. Accordingly, the upper bound of the gray area show the projected prevalence assuming the impact of BMI equal to its upper confidence level and the increase in the prevalence of overweight and obesity 10% higher than that observed in Sweden between 1988 and 2010. Osteoarthritis and Cartilage 2014 22, 1826-1832DOI: (10.1016/j.joca.2014.07.015) Copyright © 2014 Osteoarthritis Research Society International Terms and Conditions