Peak Solar Eclipse Preliminary Study Plan

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Presentation transcript:

Peak Solar Eclipse Preliminary Study Plan Brett Wangen – Dir. Engineering Jason Ausmus – Mgr. Operations Planning

Aug 21, 2017 (Mon ≈ 8:00 – 11:15A PDT)

Eclipse Stats for Cities around Peak Footprint City Obscuration (Max Coverage) Start of Partial Eclipse (PDT) Max Eclipse (PDT) End of Partial Eclipse (PDT) Portland 99.35% 8:06A 9:19A 10:38A Seattle 91.88% 8:08A 9:20A 10:39A Vancouver, BC 85.90% 8:10A 9:21A 10:37A San Francisco 75.51% 8:01A 9:15A Los Angeles 62.19% 8:05A 10:44A San Diego 57.50% 8:07A 9:23A 10:46A Las Vegas 71.69% 8:09A 9:27A 10:53A Phoenix 62.85% 8:13A 9:33A 11:00A Salt Lake City 91.11% 10:59A Denver 92.33% 8:23A 9:47A 11:14A Albuquerque 73.31% 8:21A 9:45A El Paso 60.85% 11:15A

Western States in Peak Footprint PV Installations Source EIA Capacity from Utility and Small Scale Facilities Does not include residential and other distribution connected PV systems State Total MW AZ 2528.9 CO 707.9 ID 127.4 MT 8.1 NV 149.6 NM 604.5 UT 972.3 WY 2.2 CA 13960.5 OR 181.3 WA 78.9

Peak Gathering Data For Study Build a case using forecast data Estimate loss of PV generation using numbers from EIA May estimate “worst case” BTM PV installations in more significantly affected systems Historical reserves to make up loss of PV Other known Operating Plans being enacted on 8/21/17 (e.g. more reserves, dispatching additional gen, etc.)

Peak Collaboration with NREL Much speculation regarding how much behind the meter (BTM) PV is on the system NREL in collaboration with Peak to analyze Aug 21st data to determine % BTM PV Goal is to produce BA level percentages May also assist in producing study cases to be used in preparation of the event. Details TBD.