Worldwide M&A Activity down 28% over 2007

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Presentation transcript:

Worldwide M&A Activity down 28% over 2007 Source: Thomson Reuters

Decline also in mid-market M&A activity; Under $500m down 24% Source: Thomson Reuters

M&A Outlook Survey Details 94 respondents Conducted in September 2008

Overall M&A Activity How would you characterize the environment for M&A activity today? During the next 6 months the number of M&A transactions will…

Outlook by Industry Sector For the next 6 months, which sectors will experience the most organic growth? For the next 6 months, which sectors will experience the most M&A activity?

Do you think it is now a buyers’ or a sellers’ market? Balance of Power Do you think it is now a buyers’ or a sellers’ market? Key Comments: Multiples have come down due to credit crunch and decreased economic activity Good companies can still be sold at a premium, but are scarce Strategic buyers who do not have to finance deals are in the strongest position

How many cross-border deals do you expect in the next 6 months? This calendar year, how many cross-border deals has your firm advised on? How many cross-border deals do you expect in the next 6 months? Number of Respondents Number of Deals Number of Deals

Opportunities by Region Which regions/countries are you most focused on? Key areas of focus include: US targets for European and LatAm buyers Central & Eastern Europe

What is the single biggest impediment to deal-making right now? Other impediments mentioned: Sellers’ price expectations Frightened investors Currency fluctuations Immature market

What percentage of deal activity do you expect to be driven by private equity firms in 2009?

Private Equity M&A down 80% from 3Q 2007 Source: Thomson Reuters

Overall Activity What percentage increase / decrease do you anticipate in number of deals announced in 2009 vs. 2008?

Are lenders working actively to help complete M&A transactions? Key comments: Bankers are extremely cautious at present Equity participation must be higher Money still available for the “right deals”, but the terms are getting worse Not many leveraged deals in emerging markets so effect is minimal

What are some deal design techniques required to get M&A transactions completed compared to recent past? used less used about the same used more

Where are M&A opportunities happening most often at the present time? Deal Rationale Where are M&A opportunities happening most often at the present time? Where do you see M&A opportunities being generated in the next 6 months? Other opportunities include: Private equity (buying less than typical 70-80%) Corporate carve-outs Listed companies Restructuring due to debt burden Other opportunities include: Buying competitors Corporate carve-outs Private equity