Joe Adlhoch - Air Resource Specialists, Inc. Ambient Monitoring Data Summary: Carbon WRAP Workshop on Fire, Carbon, and Dust May 23, 2006 Joe Adlhoch - Air Resource Specialists, Inc.
Outline Baseline (2000 – 2004) IMPROVE aerosol extinction budgets for the 20% worst and best visibility days Spatial and temporal variations of particulate organic material (POM or OMC) and elemental carbon (EC) Long-term trends in POM and EC
IMPROVE Monitoring Locations
Baseline Extinction: 20% Worst Days
Baseline Extinction: 20% Best Days
Spatial and Temporal Patterns in Carbon Data shown for 2002 and 2004 20% worst visibility days 2002 and 2004 show similar patterns for carbon EC patterns similar to POM; possible urban influence in southern California? Quarterly summaries, all days included Significant seasonal/annual differences Note scaling differences on maps!
POM Extinction for 20% Worst Visibility Days, 2002 and 2004
EC Extinction for 20% Worst Visibility Days, 2002 and 2004
Quarterly POM Extinction (Mm-1), 2002 2002 hot spots and maximum values vary by quarter Impact from Biscuit Fire in quarter 3 is the most significant event in 2002 16 31 83 31
Quarterly EC Extinction (Mm-1), 2002 2002 quarterly pattern for EC similar to that of POM 5 6 18 6
Quarterly POM Extinction (Mm-1), 2004 2004 pattern of POM different than in 2002 2004 POM levels lower than in 2002 except for northern California fire in quarter 2 16 49 29 18
Quarterly EC Extinction (Mm-1), 2004 11 4 2004 quarterly pattern for EC similar to that of POM 6 6
Quarterly POM Extinction Fraction, 2002 2002 quarterly POM extinction fractions ranges from ~10 – 60% 44 42 61 53
Quarterly POM Extinction Fraction, 2004 50 43 2004 quarterly POM extinction fractions somewhat similar to 2002 values 62 48
Quarterly EC Extinction Fraction, 2002 18 12 2002 quarterly EC extinction fractions ranges from ~5 – 20% Less seasonal dependence than POM 15 18
Quarterly EC Extinction Fraction, 2004 22 12 2004 quarterly EC extinction fractions ranges from ~5 – 20% Less seasonal dependence than POM 14 19
Historical Trends in 20% Worst Days: Total and POM Extinction 16 year trends (1989 – 2004) required 12 complete years of data 8 year trends (1997 – 2004) required 6 complete years of data Theil slopes (Mm-1/yr) calculated for all sites with sufficient data P-values of 0.2 required to identify trend as significant Changes in monitoring or analytical protocol over the years may affect trends
Trend Observations Generally not much correlation between total extinction and carbon extinction trends Many sites show no significant trend for carbon Where POM trends are significant, POM extinction often shows an upward trend Where EC trends are significant, EC extinction often shows a downward trend
Layout of Trend Maps 16-yr Total Extinction Trends 16-yr POM or EC Extinction Trends 8-yr POM or EC Extinction Trends