Too hard to do Alone Delivering effective community safety Richard Fairhead North Wales Fire and Rescue Service 19 of the top 200 SOAs in the indices of deprivation 2005 are located in North Wales including all three of the SOAs in Rhyl West, one of which is the second most deprived SOA in Wales. In total the 19 deprived areas had 3 ADFDs (7.5%), the last being in 2003. 8 of the 19 appear in the table for the most dwelling fires (figure 13), but only Rhyl West, Hermitage and Greenfield have recorded an ADFD (figure 14).There appears to be a correlation between dwelling fire injuries, occurrences and the deprivation index of some areas. However, it is not the case that all deprived areas automatically have a high level of dwelling fires and injuries. With regard to ADFDs, the data suggests that the deprivation index has a limited influence on the likelihood of an ADFD occurring. www.gwastan-gogcymru.org.uk 0800 169 1234 www.nwales-fireservice.org.uk

What we used to do – (alone) Identify where the fires happen. Identify other factors that link numbers of fires Areas of social deprivation Areas known to crews Concentrate the CFS activity in the busy areas. Educate the communities that have the most fires.

Why? To reduce accidental dwelling fires. Which would reduce accidental dwelling fire injuries. And therefore reduce accidental dwelling fire deaths.

DID NOT REDUCE THE ACCIDENTAL DWELLING FIRE DEATHS. What did that do? Reduced accidental dwelling fires by 28%. Reduced accidental dwelling fire injuries by 20%. DID NOT REDUCE THE ACCIDENTAL DWELLING FIRE DEATHS. 625 to 450 138 to 110 10 to 10

11 Most Active Wards in North Wales Unitary Authority Area ADFs ADFDs Injuries Rhyl West Denbighshire 114 1 32 Glyn Conwy 50 24 Rhyl South West 48 9 Rhiw 42 17 Tudno 39 13 Hermitage Wrexham 35 6 Llandrillo yn Rhos 34 15 New Broughton 5 Queensway 33 12 Rhyl South East Peblig Gwynedd 31 The 10 wards where the most accidental dwelling fires in North Wales since April 2001 were analysed. These 10 wards account for 3.5% of the total wards in North Wales (281) but account for a total of 15% (461) ADFs, 17% (133) of the injuries but only 5% (2) of the ADFDs. This suggests that ADFDs do not correlate to the volume of occurrences in the same way that injuries do. In the report a larger sample of wards was taken where 6% of the wards account for 22% of the incidents, 26% of the injuries and 10% of the ADFDs. 19 of the top 200 SOAs in the indices of deprivation 2005 are located in North Wales including all three of the SOAs in Rhyl West, one of which is the second most deprived SOA in Wales. In total the 19 deprived areas had 3 ADFDs (7.5%), the last being in 2003. 7 of the 10 appear in the table for the most dwelling fires, but only Rhyl West and Hermitage have recorded an ADFD. It was also analysed to identify if a relationship between areas of deprivation and ADFDs could be proven, this was not the case however with the areas of deprivation (highlighted in red) being prominent in the wards most active and where most injuries occur.

Most Active 25% of Wards in each Unitary Authority Area No. Wards in Sample (25%) No. Accidental Dwelling Fires (% total) No. of ADFDs No of Injuries Ynys Môn 10 197 (57%) 55 (59%) Conwy 302 (52%) 1 (10%) 106 Gwynedd 17 231 (44%) (12.5%) 51 (43%) Denbighshire 8 275 54 (55%) Flintshire 14 250 2 67 (50%) Wrexham 12 299 (33%) 77 (51%) Average 50% 17% 53% To confirm that the North Wales results were reflected locally across the unitary authorities. The most active 25% of wards in each unitary authority area were analysed to ascertain any link between ADFDs, injuries and incidents. This shows again that incidents and injuries are linked but ADFDs are not. For instance in Ynys Mon 25% of the wards are responsible for nearly 60% of both injuries and incidents but no ADFDs, this means that targeting by activity alone would have had no effect on ADFDs suggesting that links with other agencies and written protocols to allow data transfer to identify vulnerable people would be a more effective targeting method. The statistical data that NWFRS generates would not normally indicate the location of the most vulnerable. 7 (18%) of ADFD occurred in the most active areas. Additionally of the 38 ADFD events 11 (29%) have occurred in wards where there have been no injuries and only 81 (2.6%) of the accidental dwelling fires (3111). In total the 38 ADFD wards accounted for 124 (16%) of the injuries and 529 (17%) of the incidents.

Wards where there has been an Accidental Dwelling Fire Death 38 different wards 38 different fatal fire events (2 double fatalities) Only 3 wards listed as an area of deprivation One ward had 4 accidental dwelling fires and 1 accidental dwelling fire death 625 to 450 138 to 110 10 to 10

Every person who died was vulnerable Too hard to do alone? Every person who died was vulnerable Being alone Behaviour against the Fire Safety Message No AFD Age Alcohol Rented accommodation Some disability Other agencies knew of 33 of the people 625 to 450 138 to 110 10 to 10

We can predict where most accidental dwelling fires will happen. Too hard to do alone? We can predict where most accidental dwelling fires will happen. We can predict where most injuries will happen. We CANNOT predict where accidental dwelling fire deaths will happen. We appear to be able to protect property but not people. 625 to 450 138 to 110 10 to 10

Identify the vulnerable people in the communities. Too hard to do alone? Identify the vulnerable people in the communities. Work with other agencies - they know the vulnerable. Assist the other agencies by using known contributory factors. Is that all? 625 to 450 138 to 110 10 to 10

We need to protect the people – not the properties Too hard to do alone? We need to protect the people – not the properties We can only do that by working in partnership – it is too hard to do it alone. 625 to 450 138 to 110 10 to 10

ANY QUESTIONS? 625 to 450 138 to 110 10 to 10

THANK YOU 625 to 450 138 to 110 10 to 10