Volume 392, Issue 10151, Pages (September 2018)

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Volume 392, Issue 10151, Pages 929-939 (September 2018) Non-invasive detection of coronary inflammation using computed tomography and prediction of residual cardiovascular risk (the CRISP CT study): a post-hoc analysis of prospective outcome data  Evangelos K Oikonomou, MD, Mohamed Marwan, MD, Prof Milind Y Desai, MD, Jennifer Mancio, MD, Alaa Alashi, MD, Erika Hutt Centeno, MD, Sheena Thomas, BSc, Laura Herdman, BSc, Christos P Kotanidis, MD, Katharine E Thomas, MRCP, Brian P Griffin, MD, Scott D Flamm, MD, Alexios S Antonopoulos, MD, Cheerag Shirodaria, MD, Nikant Sabharwal, DM, Prof John Deanfield, FRCP, Prof Stefan Neubauer, MD, Jemma C Hopewell, PhD, Prof Keith M Channon, FRCP, Prof Stephan Achenbach, MD, Prof Charalambos Antoniades, PhD  The Lancet  Volume 392, Issue 10151, Pages 929-939 (September 2018) DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31114-0 Copyright © 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

Figure 1 Perivascular FAI analysis around epicardial coronary vessels (A) Perivascular FAI phenotyping of the proximal segments of all three major epicardial coronary vessels, with corresponding FAI colour maps. (B) Example of perivascular FAI phenotyping around the proximal RCA. Perivascular fat was defined as fat within a radial distance equal to the diameter (d) of the vessel. FAI=fat attenuation index. HU=Hounsfield unit. LAD=left anterior descending artery. LCx=left circumflex artery. RCA=right coronary artery. The Lancet 2018 392, 929-939DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31114-0) Copyright © 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

Figure 2 Kaplan-Meier curves of all-cause mortality and cardiac mortality with high versus low perivascular FAI High values for the perivascular FAI were ≥–70·1 HU and low perivascular FAI values were <–70·1 HU. Mortality curves show risk of all-cause mortality in the derivation cohort (A) and validation cohort (C) and cardiac mortality in the derivation cohort (B) and validation cohort (D). HRs are adjusted for age, sex, hypertension, hypercholesterolaemia, diabetes mellitus, smoker status, epicardial adipose tissue volume, tube voltage, extent of coronary artery disease (Duke coronary artery disease index), and number of high-risk plaque features. FAI=fat attenuation index. HR=hazard ratio. HU=Hounsfield unit. The Lancet 2018 392, 929-939DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31114-0) Copyright © 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

Figure 3 Incremental prognostic value of the perivascular FAI beyond current coronary CTA-based risk stratification Comparison of time-dependent ROC curves (at 6 years) and respective AUC of two nested models for discrimination of cardiac mortality in the (A) derivation and (B) validation cohorts. Model 1 represents the current state-of-the-art in risk assessment and consisted of age, sex, risk factors (hypertension, hypercholesterolaemia, diabetes mellitus, smoker status, epicardial adipose tissue volume), modified Duke coronary artery disease index, and number of high-risk plaque features on coronary CTA. Model 2 incorporates perivascular FAI values (≥–70·1 HU vs <–70·1 HU) into model 1. AUC=area under the curve. CTA=computed tomography angiography. FAI=fat attenuation index. HU=Hounsfield unit. ROC=receiver operating characteristic. The Lancet 2018 392, 929-939DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31114-0) Copyright © 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

Figure 4 Subgroup analysis of the prognostic value of the perivascular FAI in patients with and without coronary artery disease Plots show adjusted HRs for high versus low perivascular FAI values (≥–70·1 HU vs <–70·1 HU) as a prognostic biomarker for (A) all-cause mortality and (B) cardiac mortality in different patient subgroups, with or without cardiac CTA-derived features of coronary artery disease. HRs are adjusted for age, sex, and epicardial adipose tissue volume. CTA=computed tomography angiography. FAI=fat attenuation index. HU=Hounsfield unit. HR=hazard ratio. The Lancet 2018 392, 929-939DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31114-0) Copyright © 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license Terms and Conditions