How Much Will Retirement-reform Proposals Reduce Retirement Deficits

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Presentation transcript:

How Much Will Retirement-reform Proposals Reduce Retirement Deficits How Much Will Retirement-reform Proposals Reduce Retirement Deficits? Employee Benefit Research Institute July 9, 2018 “EBRI Retirement Security Projection Model®(RSPM) – Analyzing Policy and Design Proposals.” Jack VanDerhei, EBRI Issue Brief 451. (Employee Benefit Research Institute May 2018).

Retirement Readiness and Retirement Savings Shortfalls for Households Headed by Individuals Ages 35–64 Retirement Expenditures are defined as a combination of deterministic expenses from the Consumer Expenditure Survey (as a function of income) and some health insurance and out-of-pocket,  health-related expenses, plus stochastic expenses from nursing-home and home-health care (at least until the point such expenses are covered by Medicaid). The Retirement expenditure thresholds are the percentage of the average deterministic expenses assumed to be spent in retirement.   Retirement Savings Shortfalls are equal to the present value of simulated retirement deficits at retirement age. “EBRI Retirement Security Projection Model®(RSPM) – Analyzing Policy and Design Proposals.” Jack VanDerhei, EBRI Issue Brief 451. (Employee Benefit Research Institute May 2018).

Average Retirement Savings Shortfalls for Households Headed by Individuals Ages 35–39 with Long-term Care Costs Included Retirement Savings Shortfalls are equal to the present value of simulated retirement deficits at retirement age. “EBRI Retirement Security Projection Model®(RSPM) – Analyzing Policy and Design Proposals.” Jack VanDerhei, EBRI Issue Brief 451. (Employee Benefit Research Institute May 2018).

Percentage Reductions in Retirement Savings Shortfalls for Households Headed by Individuals Ages 35–39  Retirement Savings Shortfalls are equal to the present value of simulated retirement deficits at retirement age. Auto IRA is the Obama Budget proposal to auto enroll workers at a 3% deferral rate. ARPA is a proposal under which all but the smallest employers would be required to offer plans. Generally, all employees who have attained age 21 would be required to be covered by the plan, including new, part-time workers. The plans would be required to incorporate the following provisions, provided that certain existing plans would be grandfathered: automatic enrollment at 6%; automatic enrollment triennially at 6%; automatic contribution escalation at 1% per year up to 10%, i.e., 6% to 7% to 8% to 9% to 10%. Universal DC Scenario is a scenario that assumes all employers not currently offering DB and/or DC plans start sponsoring a DC plan immediately. Rather than simplistically presuming a single stylized defined contribution plan for employers regardless of size, this analysis assumes employers will choose a type of plan and a set of generosity parameters similar to employers in their size range.   “EBRI Retirement Security Projection Model®(RSPM) – Analyzing Policy and Design Proposals.” Jack VanDerhei, EBRI Issue Brief 451. (Employee Benefit Research Institute May 2018).