Policing, Partnership and Place Professor Jon Bannister The Manchester Met Crime and Well-Being Big Data Centre
The Manchester Met Crime and Well-Being BDC An approach to co-production that is centred on the blending of professional and scientific knowledge at every stage of the research process. Impact pathway, capacity building and visualisation. Expertise in criminology / policing, evaluation and data science / advanced quantitative methodologies. Secure data centre Delivery of world-class research, impactful and sustainable outcomes (strategic and operational decision-making).
Policing in the C21st: Key challenges Economy (Austerity), Effectiveness (delivery around ‘place’, rather than organisational structure) and Legitimacy (equity, public support). Understanding demand: predicting future demand and making best use of resources. Partnership (service and science). Making better use of existing data. The Police and Fire Reform (Scotland) Act (2013): wards (data zones and output areas). Research: the spatio-temporal patterning of crime and the impact of offenders on crime.
1. Spatial patterning of crime under the crime drop: Is it changing 1. Spatial patterning of crime under the crime drop: Is it changing? Why does it matter?
Trends in Crime
Trajectories – High(H) and Low (L) groups Change %: ((Group Mean 2012 - Group Mean 1998) / Group Mean 1998) * 100 - rounded DC %: drop contribution (Sum Total Group Count 2012 - Sum Group Count 1998)/ (Sum Count All Areas 2012 - Sum Count All Cases 1998 *100 - rounded)
Crime concentrations
2. The effect of offender concentrations on crime
(Policy) Conclusions Focus on smaller spatial units (output areas & neighbourhoods) comprising wards – a focus on places not policing administrative boundaries. How should we balance questions of equity, effectiveness and efficiency? Differing performance of neighbourhoods - equity, effectiveness and efficiency. A breakdown in wider area clustering of high crime / Lack of stability of these areas - challenge to effectiveness and efficiency. Small % of areas (E.g., 2% of OA) experience 50% of all crime - equity. Offenders (linear relationship to crime) – questions of effectiveness (targeting recently active) and equity (distribution)
Questions