Business Statistics, 5th ed. by Ken Black

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Business Statistics, 5th ed. by Ken Black Chapter 10 Statistical Inferences about Two Populations PowerPoint presentations prepared by Lloyd Jaisingh, Morehead State University

Learning Objectives Test hypotheses and construct confidence intervals about the difference in two population means using the Z statistic. Test hypotheses and construct confidence intervals about the difference in two population means using the t statistic. 2

Learning Objectives Test hypotheses and construct confidence intervals about the difference in two related populations. Test hypotheses and construct confidence intervals about the differences in two population proportions. Test hypotheses and construct confidence intervals about two population variances.

Sampling Distribution of the Difference Between Two Sample Means Population 1 Population 2 3

Sampling Distribution of the Difference between Two Sample Means 4

Z Formula for the Difference in Two Sample Means When 12 and22 are known and Independent Samples 5

Hypothesis Testing for Differences Between Means: The Wage Example Advertising Managers 74.256 57.791 71.115 96.234 65.145 67.574 89.807 96.767 59.621 93.261 77.242 62.483 103.030 67.056 69.319 74.195 64.276 35.394 75.932 74.194 86.741 80.742 65.360 57.351 39.672 73.904 45.652 54.270 93.083 59.045 63.384 68.508 Auditing Managers 69.962 77.136 43.649 55.052 66.035 63.369 57.828 54.335 59.676 63.362 42.494 54.449 37.194 83.849 46.394 99.198 67.160 71.804 61.254 37.386 72.401 73.065 59.505 56.470 48.036 72.790 67.814 60.053 71.351 71.492 66.359 58.653 61.261 63.508 8

Hypothesis Testing for Differences Between Means: The Wage Example  =0.05, /2 = 0.025, z0.025 = 1.96

Hypothesis Testing for Differences Between Means: The Wage Example Since the observed value of 2.35 is greater than 1.96, reject the null hypothesis. That is, there is a significant difference between the average annual wage of advertising managers and the average annual wage of an auditing manager.

Confidence Interval to Estimate 1 - 2 When 1, 2 are known 12

Demonstration Problem 10.2 13

The t Test for Differences in Population Means Each of the two populations is normally distributed. The two samples are independent. The values of the population variances are unknown. The variances of the two populations are equal. 12 = 22 14

t Formula to Test the Difference in Means Assuming 12 = 22 15

Hernandez Manufacturing Company Training Method A 56 51 45 47 52 43 42 53 50 48 44 Training Method B 59 52 53 54 57 56 55 64 65 17

Hernandez Manufacturing Company (part 3) 18

Confidence Interval to Estimate 1 - 2 when 12 and 22 are unknown and 12 = 22 21

Demonstration Problem 10.4 21

Demonstration Problem 10.4 The researcher is 95% confident that the difference in population average daily consumption of cups of coffee between regular- and decaffeinated-coffee drinkers is between 1.46 cups and 3.52 cups. 21

Dependent Samples Before and after measurements on the same individual Studies of twins Studies of spouses Individual 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Before 32 11 21 17 30 38 14 After 39 15 35 13 41 22 25

Formulas for Dependent Samples 26

P/E Ratios for Nine Randomly Selected Companies Company Year1 P/E Ratio Year2 P/E Ratio 1 8.9 12.7 2 38.1 45.4 3 43.0 10.0 4 34.0 27.2 5 34.5 22.8 6 15.2 24.1 7 20.3 32.3 8 19.9 40.1 9 61.9 106.5

Hypothesis Testing with Dependent Samples: P/E Ratios for Nine Companies Company Year1 P/E Ratio Year2 P/E Ratio d 1 8.9 12.7 -3.8 2 38.1 45.4 -7.3 3 43.0 10.0 33.0 4 34.0 27.2 6.8 5 34.5 22.8 11.7 6 15.2 24.1 -8.9 7 20.3 32.3 -12.0 8 19.9 40.1 -20.2 9 61.9 106.5 -44.6

Hypothesis Testing with Dependent Samples: P/E Ratios for Nine Companies 29

Hypothesis Testing with Dependent Samples: Demonstration Problem 10.5 Individual 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Before 32 11 21 17 30 38 14 After 39 15 35 13 41 22 d -7 -4 -14 -11 -1 -8 25

Hypothesis Testing with Dependent Samples: Demonstration Problem 10.5 33

Confidence Intervals

Confidence Intervals The analyst estimates with a 99% level of confidence that the average difference in new-house sales for a real estate company in Indianapolis between 2005 and 2006 is between -5.62 and -1.16 houses.

Sampling Distribution of Differences in Sample Proportions 39

Z Formula for the Difference in Two Population Proportions 40

Z Formula to Test the Difference in Population Proportions 41

Testing the Difference in Population Proportions (Demonstration Problem 10.6) H0: p1 – p2 = 0 Ha: p1 – p2  0 43

Confidence Interval to Estimate p1 - p2 44

Example Problem: When do men shop for groceries? For a 98% level of confidence z = 2.33. 45