Marcus Spiegel Dr. Lyndon Estes Professor Kelly Caylor

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Presentation transcript:

Marcus Spiegel Dr. Lyndon Estes Professor Kelly Caylor Modeling Agricultural Expansion in Zambia to Predict and Minimize Tradeoffs Marcus Spiegel Dr. Lyndon Estes Professor Kelly Caylor

Motivation

Fieldwork

Multi-objective Optimization

Allocating Pixels to Crops: The Agro-Knapsack Problem Figure courtesy of Dr. Lyndon Estes

Next Steps Implement new biodiversity metric from Newbold et al. (2015) Incorporate yield variability due to uncertainty in rainfall Identify key areas for infrastructure development (irrigation, access to land) Plan a field season in 2016 for refining input grids and model application

Acknowledgments Dr. Lyndon Estes Professor Kelly Caylor Professor Tom Evans Zambia Agricultural Research Institute Mr. Stalin Sichinga Mr. Sesele Sokotela PEI and Smith-Newton Scholars Program