David C Charlesworth, MD, Donald S Likosky, PhD, Charles A

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Presentation transcript:

Development and validation of a prediction model for strokes after coronary artery bypass grafting David C Charlesworth, MD, Donald S Likosky, PhD, Charles A.S Marrin, MB, BS, Christopher T Maloney, MD, Hebe B Quinton, MS, Jeremy R Morton, MD, Bruce J Leavitt, MD, Robert A Clough, MD, Gerald T O’Connor, DSc, PhD The Annals of Thoracic Surgery Volume 76, Issue 2, Pages 436-443 (August 2003) DOI: 10.1016/S0003-4975(03)00528-9

Fig 1 Rates of stroke after isolated coronary artery bypass surgery in northern New England between 1992 and 2001. The Annals of Thoracic Surgery 2003 76, 436-443DOI: (10.1016/S0003-4975(03)00528-9)

Fig 2 Age-stratified rates of stroke after isolated coronary artery bypass surgery in northern New England between 1992 and 2001. The Annals of Thoracic Surgery 2003 76, 436-443DOI: (10.1016/S0003-4975(03)00528-9)

Fig 3 Observed versus expected strokes by decile of predicted risk. The Annals of Thoracic Surgery 2003 76, 436-443DOI: (10.1016/S0003-4975(03)00528-9)

Fig 4 The relative contributions of each factor to predicting the risk of perioperative stroke. Patient characteristics: age and gender. Comorbidities: diabetes, renal failure or creatinine greater than or equal to 2 mg/dL, and vascular disease. Patient presentation: priority and ejection fraction. The Annals of Thoracic Surgery 2003 76, 436-443DOI: (10.1016/S0003-4975(03)00528-9)

Fig 5 Risk prediction card for stroke. (CABG = coronary artery bypass grafting; EF = ejection fraction.) The Annals of Thoracic Surgery 2003 76, 436-443DOI: (10.1016/S0003-4975(03)00528-9)