Forecast Verification

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Presentation transcript:

Forecast Verification Spatial pentad mean for the Month of August-September Working group on Extended Range Prediction Ministry of Earth System Sciences, India

Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period 31July-4 August, 2013 Actual Anomaly Forecast valid for Period 31July-4Aug P1-lead, IC 30 July P2-lead, IC 25 July P3-lead, IC 20 July P4-lead, IC 15 July CFS GFSbc CFS GFSbc

Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period 5-9 August, 2013 Actual Anomaly Forecast valid for Period 5-9Aug P1-lead, IC 4 Aug P2-lead, IC 30 July P3-lead, IC 25 July P4-lead, IC 20 July CFS GFSbc CFS GFSbc

Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period 10-14 August, 2013 Actual Anomaly Forecast valid for Period 10-14Aug P1-lead, IC 9 Aug P2-lead, IC 4 Aug P3-lead, IC 30 July P4-lead, IC 25 July CFS GFSbc CFS GFSbc

Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period 15-19 August, 2013 Actual Anomaly Forecast valid for Period 15-19Aug P1-lead, IC 14 Aug P2-lead, IC 9 Aug P3-lead, IC 4 Aug P4-lead, IC 30 July CFS GFSbc CFS GFSbc

Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period 20-24 August, 2013 Actual Anomaly Forecast valid for Period 20-24Aug P1-lead, IC 19 Aug P2-lead, IC 14 Aug P3-lead, IC 9 Aug P4-lead, IC 4 Aug CFS GFSbc CFS GFSbc

Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period 25-29 August, 2013 Actual Anomaly Forecast valid for Period 25-29Aug P1-lead, IC 24 Aug P2-lead, IC 19 Aug P3-lead, IC 14 Aug P4-lead, IC 9 Aug CFS GFSbc CFS GFSbc

Pentad mean Rainfall (mm/day) for period 30 Aug-4 Sep, 2013 Actual Anomaly Forecast valid for Period 30 Aug-3 Sep P1-lead, IC 29 Aug P2-lead, IC 24 Aug P3-lead, IC 19 Aug P4-lead, IC 14 Aug CFS GFSbc CFS GFSbc