BRIDGING THE CLIMATE GAP: FROM GLOBAL PROJECTIONS TO REGIONAL IMPACTS

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Center for Environmental Systems Research - University of Kassel Possible impacts of climate change on water availability – sensitivity anlysis and response.

Advertisements

Comparing statistical downscaling methods: From simple to complex

The Canadian Climate Impacts Scenarios (CCIS) Project is funded by the Climate Change Action Fund and provides climate change scenarios and related information.

Michael Hanemann University of California, Berkeley Guido Franco California Energy Commission California Climate Action Team March 11, 2009 Sacramento.

CLIMATE ADAPTATION FLAGSHIP- Adaptation Engineering CLIMATE ADAPTATION FLAGSHIP – Adaptation Engineering Green Infrastructure in Mitigating Extreme Summer.

Robert W. Pinder US EPA, Office of Research and Development Eric Davidson Woods Hole Research Center Christine Goodale Cornell University Tara Greaver,

Climate Change Impacts in the United States Third National Climate Assessment [Name] [Date] Midwest.

Multi-scale and Ensemble Modeling of the Effects of Global Change on Air Quality in the US NW –AIRQUEST Annual Meeting Washington State University Pullman,

A statistical method for calculating the impact of climate change on future air quality over the Northeast United States. Collaborators: Cynthia Lin, Katharine.

Translating climate science into urban conservation action Abigail Derby Lewis The Field Museum, Science Action Center Chicago Wilderness, Climate Action.

Climate Change, Biofuels, and Land Use Legacy: Trusting Computer Models to Guide Water Resources Management Trajectories Anthony Kendall Geological Sciences,

WFM 6311: Climate Risk Management © Dr. Akm Saiful Islam WFM 6311: Climate Change Risk Management Akm Saiful Islam Lecture-4: Module- 3 Regional Climate.

Assessment of Future Change in Temperature and Precipitation over Pakistan (Simulated by PRECIS RCM for A2 Scenario) Siraj Ul Islam, Nadia Rehman.

WCRP Metrics/Methodologies for Extremes September 2010 Based in part on … Some Scale Considerations for Predicting/Projecting Extreme Precipitation William.

Uncertainty Analysis of Climate Change Effects on Runoff for the Pacific Northwest Greg Karlovits and Jennifer Adam Department of Civil and Environmental.

Impacts of Climate Change on Physical Systems PPT

1 Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States.

Climate Tools Café Webinar The Ohio State University Changing Climate Seminar Series May 3, 2012.

Impact of Climate Change on Flow in the Upper Mississippi River Basin

Simulating the future climate of the Great Lakes using Regional Climate Models Frank Seglenieks Boundary Waters Issues Unit, MSC Methods of Projecting.

California’s Climate Initiative. 2 Executive Order Established Statewide GHG Targets By 2010, Reduce to 2000 Emission Levels* By 2020, Reduce to 1990.

Stephen H. Schneider* Melvin and Joan Lane Professor for Interdisciplinary Environmental Studies, Professor, Department of Biological Sciences Senior Fellow,

Land Use, Land Cover, and the Impacts of Climate Change in Agriculture Hexbin plot of MLCT raw vs. NLCD (left) and of MLCT adjusted crop versus Agland2000.

Agriculture/Forest Fire Management Presentations Summary Determine climate and weather extremes that are crucial in resource management and policy making.

Global Warming Effects on Extreme Weathers By: Christopher Chappell December 5, 2005 Global Change and Environmental Consequence.

Developing of Evaluation Metrics and Indices for Applications Galia Guentchev and the NCPP Core and Tech team.

Maryland Climate Change Commission Scientific and Technical Working Group Regional Assessment of Climate Change Impacts Metropolitan Washington COG Climate.

Where the Research Meets the Road: Climate Science, Uncertainties, and Knowledge Gaps First National Expert and Stakeholder Workshop on Water Infrastructure.

Changes in Floods and Droughts in an Elevated CO 2 Climate Anthony M. DeAngelis Dr. Anthony J. Broccoli.

Use of Climate Projections for Water Supply Planning Alison Adams, Ph.D., P.E. NCPP Workshop August 12-16, 2013.

PROJECT TO INTERCOMPARE REGIONAL CLIMATE SIMULATIONS Global Climate Change and Regional Impacts: Are We Building the Right Kind of Drainage Structures.

Image courtesy of NASA/GSFC. Eugene S. Takle Professor Department of Agronomy Department of Geological and Atmospheric Science Director, Climate Science.

Northrop Grumman PRIVATE / PROPRIETARY Presentation to: 2009 NARCCAP Users’ Meeting Glenn Higgins Atmospheric Sciences & Engineering Department Northrop.

Adaptation Advisory Group Tuesday, November 16, 2010 City of Chicago Richard M. Daley, Mayor DRAFT.

Variation of Surface Soil Moisture and its Implications Under Changing Climate Conditions 1.

Chittenden County Climate Action Planning CCRPC Board Presentation February 15, 2012 Julie Potter, Senior Planner.

Atmospheric Research HOT COWS! Presentation of pilot risk assessment to stakeholders Probability of climate change in terms of milk loss Adaptation assessment.

Climate Science, Change, and Adaptation Overview Presented to Delta Stewardship Council Presented by Armin Munévar September 2010.

Evapotranspiration Estimates over Canada based on Observed, GR2 and NARR forcings Korolevich, V., Fernandes, R., Wang, S., Simic, A., Gong, F. Natural.

1 Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Global Climate Models, and California Climate Change Impacts.

Climate change impacts on water resources in the southeastern U.S. – Can we adapt? Peter Caldwell USDA Forest Service, Eastern Forest Environmental Threat.

Climate Change and Water Supply: Potential Hydrologic Consequences Guido Franco Technical Lead for Climate Change Research Public Interest Energy Research.

Developing of Evaluation Metrics and Indices for Applications Galia Guentchev and the NCPP Core and Tech team.

Image courtesy of NASA/GSFC. Global Climate Change and Its Impact on the US Midwest Eugene S. Takle Professor Department of Agronomy Department of Geological.

Drought impacts on PM and Ozone in the US 5 May 2015 Yuxuan Wang 1,2, Yuanyu Xie 2 1 Texas A&M University 2 Tsinghua University.

Anomalies of global air temperature during the last Millennium, relative to the period

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE TEACHERS’ CONFERENCE ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE TEACHERS’ CONFERENCE, Borki Molo, Poland, 7-10 February 2007 Projection of future climate.

3.3 Theory of Climate Change 3.4 Observations

Climate Change Science

Tanya L. Spero1, Megan S. Mallard1, Stephany M

Global Circulation Models

Regional Climate Model Projections Update

CLIMATE CHANGE – FUNDAMENTALS

Climate in Brazil: present and perspective for the future

Michigan State University

Considerations in Using Climate Change Information in Hydrologic Models and Water Resources Assessments JISAO Center for Science in the Earth System Climate.

Climate Change Results National Center for Atmospheric Research

North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program

Climate Change Impacts in Pennsylvania

150 years of land cover and climate change impacts on streamflow in the Puget Sound Basin, Washington Dennis P. Lettenmaier Lan Cuo Nathalie Voisin University.

Hydrologic response of Pacific Northwest Rivers to climate change

Fig. 1 Area over which VIC simulated soil moisture has been spatially averaged. Blue shadded area represents contributing area above Sacramento at Bend.

South Eastern Latin America

EC Workshop on European Water Scenarios Brussels 30 June 2003

What is the percentage of global precipitation falling on the land?

Trends in Iowa Precipitation: Observed and Projected Future Trends

Climate Change in Scotland / UK / N. Europe

What is the percentage of global precipitation falling on the land?

Fig. 1 Area over which VIC simulated soil moisture has been spatially averaged. Blue shadded area represents contributing area above Sacramento.

Fig. 1 a) All-India Summer (JJAS) Monsoon rainfall anomalies (% of mean) during The 31-yr sliding mean of the anomalies is shown in.

Presentation transcript:

BRIDGING THE CLIMATE GAP: FROM GLOBAL PROJECTIONS TO REGIONAL IMPACTS Katharine Hayhoe and Don Wuebbles University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Texas Tech University HEALTH: CONTINENTAL U.S. AGRICULTURE: MIDWEST Summer average daily maximum 8-hour changes in surface ozone 2050s A1fi higher B1 lower Heat stress thresholds for livestock (oF): 70–72 dairy cows 72–75 beef cows 72–74 pigs 70–78 chickens B1 lower A1fi higher HIGH-RESOLUTION CLIMATE PROJECTIONS ECOSYSTEMS: NORTHEAST Tree species distribution INFRASTRUCTURE: THE CITY OF CHICAGO WATER: GREAT LAKES Climate change impacts by city department Historic A1fi higher B1 lower The high-resolution projection at the center shows the number of weeks per year of days with Tmax > 100oF. Projection is for 2070-2099 under the SRES A1fi (higher) scenario based on the average from GFDL CM2.1, PCM and HadCM3, downscaled to one-eighth degree resolution using a VIC-based statistical downscaling approach. Health: used RCM coupled with CMAQ to calculate projected changes in surface- level ozone by 2050s relative to 2090s. PCM A1fi vs B1. Ecosystems: Louis Iverson (USFS)’s forest model driven by GFDL/HadCM3/PCM A1fi/B1 simulations for 2070-2099 relative to 1961-1990 Infrastructure: the work of Oliver Wyman, appearing in upcoming JGLR special issue Agriculture: after Wolfe et al 2008 Mitigation & Adaptation Strategies for Global Change – values for 2070-2099 are shown. Historic map (1961-1990) is blank – i.e., no heat stress at all. Water: using Tom Croley’s GLERL lake level model, transient simulations driven by GFDL CM2.1, HadCM3 and PCM A1fi and B1 temperature & precipitation Mean lake level for Lake Superior