A project of the International Peace Institute Understanding Compliance with Security Council Resolutions in Civil Wars A project of the International Peace Institute 2

Project Outputs IPI Security Council Compliance Database Statistical analysis Case studies Edited volume and Policy reports Searchable database Project Outputs 3

Security Council demands and UN peace operations Includes armed troops, unarmed military observers and civilian police deployed in civil war country Security Council demands and UN peace operations 4 Source: IPI Security Council Compliance Database

Average number of demands per Security Council civil war Resolution 5 Source: IPI Security Council Compliance Database

Security Council demands during and after civil wars Includes armed troops, unarmed military observers and civilian police deployed in civil war country Security Council demands during and after civil wars 6 Source: IPI Security Council Compliance Database

Security Council use of compliance monitoring mandates 7 Source: IPI Security Council Compliance Database

Under which circumstances are civil war parties most likely to comply with demands of the Security Council? Does the difficulty of the conflict management setting explain the prospects of compliance? Which strategies and tools can the Security Council use to make its voice heard by civil war parties? Is the level of commitment of Security Council members to a demand correlated to compliance? Research Questions 8

Compliance Assessment Methodology Distinguish between specific operative demands Assess compliance on a scale Compliance Assessment Methodology

Compliance Assessment Procedure Document each compliance coding decision Assign each coding decision to two independent coders Compliance Assessment Procedure

Multi-level structure of data Selection bias Statistical Model