Work Packages: 1. Technologies (combination of CSP and desalting technologies) 2. Water and Solar Energy Resources 3. Demand Side Scenario 4. Market Potential.

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Work Packages: 1. Technologies (combination of CSP and desalting technologies) 2. Water and Solar Energy Resources 3. Demand Side Scenario 4. Market Potential 2000-2050 5. Socio-Economic Impacts 6. Environmental Impacts 7. Literature

WP 3: Freshwater Demand Population Prospects

WP 3: Freshwater Demand Economic Growth Long-term average per capita growth rates of GDP

WP 3: Freshwater Demand Water Demand Model Sector Irrigation Municipal Industrial Driving Force γ Population GDP GDP Best Practice Effic. βirr = 70 % βmun = 85 % βind = 85 % Progress Factor αirr = 50 % αmun = 65 % αind = 65 % General End Use Eff. Enhancement μirr = 0 μmun = 1.8 %/y μind = 1.8 %/y

Water Demand Prospects by Country WP 3: Freshwater Demand Water Demand Prospects by Country

Water Demand Prospects by Sectors WP 3: Freshwater Demand Water Demand Prospects by Sectors

WP 3: Freshwater Demand Deficits by Country

WP 3: Freshwater Demand Scenario Variations

Scenario Variation Business As Usual WP 3: Freshwater Demand Scenario Variation Business As Usual

Scenario Variation Extreme Efficiency WP 3: Freshwater Demand Scenario Variation Extreme Efficiency

Coincidence with other Analysis WP 3: Freshwater Demand Coincidence with other Analysis

WP 3: Freshwater Demand Conclusions MENA population will double by 2050 MENA economies will approximate European level by 2050 Water demand would grow from 270 Bm³/y in 2000 to 460 Bm³/y in 2050 Water deficit would increase from 50 Bm³/y in 2000 to 150 Bm³/y in 2050 Over-use of groundwater is already above 45 Bm³/y Extreme efficiency could limit deficit to 100 Bm³/y  Efficiency and new sources will be required to cover water deficits