Crowd and environmental management during mass gatherings

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Presentation transcript:

Crowd and environmental management during mass gatherings Dr Anders Johansson, PhD, Prof Michael Batty, PhD, Konrad Hayashi, MD, Osama Al Bar, PhD, David Marcozzi, MD, Prof Ziad A Memish, MD  The Lancet Infectious Diseases  Volume 12, Issue 2, Pages 150-156 (February 2012) DOI: 10.1016/S1473-3099(11)70287-0 Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure 1 The Hajj (A) Pilgrim crowds at the Jamarat bridge. (B) Overcrowding preventing the access of an ambulance. The Lancet Infectious Diseases 2012 12, 150-156DOI: (10.1016/S1473-3099(11)70287-0) Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure 2 Notting Hill Carnival (A) Float passing though crowds in the parade. (B) An ambulance passing through the parade and crowds. The Lancet Infectious Diseases 2012 12, 150-156DOI: (10.1016/S1473-3099(11)70287-0) Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure 3 Visual agent-based modelling of crowds at the Notting Hill Carnival (A) Flow density of the crowds along the streets (red [most dense], yellow, green, blue [least dense]). (B) Streets (yellow) closed by the police. (C) Carnival route (red and green [section closed ahead]), entry points (blue), and music events (yellow), with spectators along and within the parade route (red and green). (D) Movement of walkers. The Lancet Infectious Diseases 2012 12, 150-156DOI: (10.1016/S1473-3099(11)70287-0) Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure 4 An individual-based susceptible–infected–recovered epidemics model for a hypothetical disease (A) Snapshot of central London, UK, showing the results of running this microscopic model in terms of the spread of infection, susceptibility, and degree to which the populations have recovered. The heat map colours correspond to the density of people being infected with disease. (B) Results from a macroscopic (Kermack and McKendrick53) model. (C) Results from a microscopic epidemic-spreading model run by use of global positioning system trajectories in central London. The Lancet Infectious Diseases 2012 12, 150-156DOI: (10.1016/S1473-3099(11)70287-0) Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions